Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27391094›Full record

ArticlePloS one2016

How Much Do We Know about Drug Resistance Due to PrEP Use? Analysis of Experts' Opinion and Its Influence on the Projected Public Health Impact.

Dobromir T Dimitrov, Marie-Claude Boily, Timothy B Hallett, Jan Albert, Charles Boucher, John W Mellors, Deenan Pillay, David A M C van de Vijver

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.9field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 22 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Review
  12. Adolescent Preexposure Prophylaxis Administration: An Education Curriculum for Health Care Providers.Journal of pediatric health care : official publication of National Association of Pediatric Nurse Associates & Practitioners
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 6 institutions in 4 countries.

Dobromir T DimitrovVaccine and Infectious Disease Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington, United States of America.
Marie-Claude BoilyDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Timothy B HallettDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Jan AlbertDepartment of Microbiology, Tumor and Cell Biology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Charles BoucherDepartment of Virology, Erasmus Medical Centre, University Medical Centre Rotterdam, Rotterdam, Netherlands.
John W MellorsDivision of Infectious Diseases, School of Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States of America.
Deenan PillayResearch Department of Infection, University College Medical School, London, United Kingdom.
David A M C van de VijverDepartment of Virology, Erasmus Medical Centre, University Medical Centre Rotterdam, Rotterdam, Netherlands.
Erasmus University Rotterdam · NLImperial College London · GBFred Hutch Cancer Center · USKarolinska Institutet · SEUniversity College London · GBUniversity of Pittsburgh · US

Funding

SDMC: HPTN 084 Pregnancy SupplementUM1AI068617 · NIAID · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI Elizabeth Renata Brown, Deborah J Donnell · 2011 to 2026
$204.9M
Medical Research Council MR/K010174/1NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI068617
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRandomized controlled trials reported that pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) with tenofovir and emtricitabine rarely selects for drug resistance. However, drug resistance due to PrEP is not completely understood. In daily practice, PrEP will not be used under the well-controlled conditions available in the trials, suggesting that widespread use of PrEP can result in increased drug resistance.

methodsWe surveyed expert virologists with questions about biological assumptions regarding drug resistance due to PrEP use. The influence of these assumptions on the prevalence of drug resistance and the fraction of HIV transmitted resistance was studied with a mathematical model. For comparability, 50% PrEP-coverage of and 90% per-act efficacy of PrEP in preventing HIV acquisition are assumed in all simulations.

resultsVirologists disagreed on the following: the time until resistance emergence (range: 20-180 days) in infected PrEP users with breakthrough HIV infections; the efficacy of PrEP against drug-resistant HIV (25%-90%); and the likelihood of resistance acquisition upon transmission (10%-75%). These differences translate into projections of 0.6%- 1% and 3.5%-6% infected individuals with detectable resistance 10 years after introducing PrEP, assuming 100% and 50% adherence, respectively. The rate of resistance emergence following breakthrough HIV infection and the rate of resistance reversion after PrEP use is discontinued, were the factors identified as most influential on the expected resistance associated with PrEP. Importantly, 17-23% infected individuals could virologically fail treatment as a result of past PrEP use or transmitted resistance to PrEP with moderate adherence.

conclusionsThere is no broad consensus on quantification of key biological processes that underpin the emergence of PrEP-associated drug resistance. Despite this, the contribution of PrEP use to the prevalence of the detectable drug resistance is expected to be small. However, individuals who become infected despite the use of PrEP should be closely monitored due to higher risk of virological failure when initiating antiretroviral treatment in the future.

Indexed as

Pre-Exposure ProphylaxisAnti-HIV AgentsDrug Resistance, ViralHIV InfectionsHumansModels, TheoreticalPublic HealthRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicVirologyAnti-HIV Agents

Identifiers

PMID27391094
PMCPMC4938235
OpenAlexW2470199959

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.