ArticleScientific reports2016
Climate threat on the Macaronesian endemic bryophyte flora.
Article in Scientific reports, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
19 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Diversity patterns and knowledge gaps of Atlantic Forest epiphyllous bryophytes: a highly neglected group.Annals of botany · 2025Pooled it
- Contrasting Climate Change Responses of the Rare Moss GenusPlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Diversity and Distribution of Bryophytes Along an Altitudinal Gradient on Flores Island (Azores, Portugal).Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- Modeling the distribution of the endemic Turkish moss speciesFrontiers in plant science · 2025Article
- Atlantic oceanic islands and archipelagos: Physical structures, plant diversity, and affinities of the bryofloras.Biodiversity data journal · 2025Article
- eBryoSoil: a citizen science application to monitor changes in soil ecosystems.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Host tree availability shapes potential distribution of a target epiphytic moss species more than direct climate effects.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Article
- A multitaxa approach to biodiversity inventory in Matela protected area (Terceira, Azores, Portugal).Biodiversity data journal · 2024Article
- Seasonal Hydration Status of Common Bryophyte Species in Azorean Native Vegetation.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- Effects of a short-term temperature increase on arthropod communities associated with pastures.Biodiversity data journal · 2023Article
- The danger and indeterminacy of forfeiting perching space of bryophytes from climate shift: a case study for 115 species in China.Environmental monitoring and assessment · 2022Article
- Cultural probes for environmental education: Designing learning materials to engage children and teenagers with local biodiversity.PloS one · 2022Article
- Arthropods and other biota associated with the Azorean trees and shrubs:Biodiversity data journal · 2022Article
- Scientists' warning - The outstanding biodiversity of islands is in peril.Global ecology and conservation · 2021Review
- Implications of climate change to the design of protected areas: The case study of small islands (Azores).PloS one · 2019Article
- Species conservation profile of moths (Insecta, Lepidoptera) from Azores, Portugal.Biodiversity data journal · 2018Article
- Species conservation profiles of endemic spiders (Araneae) from Madeira and Selvagens archipelagos, Portugal.Biodiversity data journal · 2017Article
- Plant invasion and speciation along elevational gradients on the oceanic island La Palma, Canary Islands.Ecology and evolution · 2017Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
13 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Oceanic islands are of fundamental importance for the conservation of biodiversity because they exhibit high endemism rates coupled with fast extinction rates. Nowhere in Europe is this pattern more conspicuous than in the Macaronesian biogeographic region. A large network of protected areas within the region has been developed, but the question of whether these areas will still be climatically suitable for the globally threatened endemic element in the coming decades remains open. Here, we make predictions on the fate of the Macaronesian endemic bryophyte flora in the context of ongoing climate change. The potential distribution of 35 Macaronesian endemic bryophyte species was assessed under present and future climate conditions using an ensemble modelling approach. Projections of the models under different climate change scenarios predicted an average decrease of suitable areas of 62-87% per species and a significant elevational increase by 2070, so that even the commonest species were predicted to fit either the Vulnerable or Endangered IUCN categories. Complete extinctions were foreseen for six of the studied Macaronesian endemic species. Given the uncertainty regarding the capacity of endemic species to track areas of suitable climate within and outside the islands, active management associated to an effective monitoring program is suggested.
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