Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27329324›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of biometeorology2017

Socio-ecological factors and hand, foot and mouth disease in dry climate regions: a Bayesian spatial approach in Gansu, China.

Faxiang Gou, Xinfeng Liu, Xiaowei Ren, Dongpeng Liu, Haixia Liu, Kongfu Wei, Xiaoting Yang, Yao Cheng, Yunhe Zheng, Xiaojuan Jiang and 3 more

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in International journal of biometeorology, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Faxiang GouInstitute for communicable disease control and prevention, Gansu Center for Diseases Prevention and Control, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Xinfeng LiuInstitute for communicable disease control and prevention, Gansu Center for Diseases Prevention and Control, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Xiaowei RenInstitute of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Dongpeng LiuInstitute for communicable disease control and prevention, Gansu Center for Diseases Prevention and Control, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Haixia LiuInstitute for communicable disease control and prevention, Gansu Center for Diseases Prevention and Control, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Kongfu WeiInstitute for communicable disease control and prevention, Gansu Center for Diseases Prevention and Control, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Xiaoting YangInstitute for communicable disease control and prevention, Gansu Center for Diseases Prevention and Control, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Yao ChengInstitute for communicable disease control and prevention, Gansu Center for Diseases Prevention and Control, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Yunhe ZhengInstitute for communicable disease control and prevention, Gansu Center for Diseases Prevention and Control, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Xiaojuan JiangInstitute for communicable disease control and prevention, Gansu Center for Diseases Prevention and Control, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Juansheng LiInstitute of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Lei MengInstitute for communicable disease control and prevention, Gansu Center for Diseases Prevention and Control, Lanzhou, Gansu, China. ccdcusc101@163.com.
Wenbiao HuFaculty of Health, Public Health and Social Work, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia. w2.hu@qut.edu.au.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The influence of socio-ecological factors on hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) were explored in this study using Bayesian spatial modeling and spatial patterns identified in dry regions of Gansu, China. Notified HFMD cases and socio-ecological data were obtained from the China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention, Gansu Yearbook and Gansu Meteorological Bureau. A Bayesian spatial conditional autoregressive model was used to quantify the effects of socio-ecological factors on the HFMD and explore spatial patterns, with the consideration of its socio-ecological effects. Our non-spatial model suggests temperature (relative risk (RR) 1.15, 95 % CI 1.01-1.31), GDP per capita (RR 1.19, 95 % CI 1.01-1.39) and population density (RR 1.98, 95 % CI 1.19-3.17) to have a significant effect on HFMD transmission. However, after controlling for spatial random effects, only temperature (RR 1.25, 95 % CI 1.04-1.53) showed significant association with HFMD. The spatial model demonstrates temperature to play a major role in the transmission of HFMD in dry regions. Estimated residual variation after taking into account the socio-ecological variables indicated that high incidences of HFMD were mainly clustered in the northwest of Gansu. And, spatial structure showed a unique distribution after taking account of socio-ecological effects.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalBayes TheoremChinaClimateFemaleHand, Foot and Mouth DiseaseHumansIncidenceMalePopulation DensitySpatial AnalysisWeather

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.