Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27301273›Full record

ArticleOrphanet journal of rare diseases2016

Directions for new developments on statistical design and analysis of small population group trials.

Ralf-Dieter Hilgers, Kit Roes, Nigel Stallard, IDeAl, Asterix and InSPiRe project groups

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Orphanet journal of rare diseases, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT05072288 (A Remote Physical Activity Program Via the PACE Tool to Counter the Physical Impairments, Accentuated by the Pandemic, in the Population Suffering from Type 1 Myotonic Dystrophy), which is not on this map. Cited by 29 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT05072288 naactive not recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2021, after this paper: background citation

A Remote Physical Activity Program Via the PACE Tool to Counter the Physical Impairments, Accentuated by the Pandemic, in the Population Suffering from Type 1 Myotonic Dystrophy

TypeinterventionalSponsorUniversité du Québec à ChicoutimiRan2021 to 2026Enrolled40ConditionsMyotonic Dystrophy Type 1 (DM1)ArmsRemote activity program
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. In Silico Clinical Trials in Drug Development: A Systematic Review.Therapeutic innovation & regulatory science · 2026
    Pooled it
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  3. Bayesian Approaches for Confirmatory Trials in Rare Diseases: Opportunities and Challenges.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Pooled it
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  6. Trial
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Innovative methodologies for rare diseases clinical trials.Orphanet journal of rare diseases · 2024
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  15. Review
  16. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Ralf-Dieter HilgersDepartment of Medical Statistics, RWTH Aachen University, Pauwelsstr 30, D-52074, Aachen, Germany. rhilgers@ukaachen.de.ORCID 0000-0002-5945-1119
Kit RoesQuality and Patient Safety, Biostatistics, UMC Utrecht, Utrecht, Netherlands.
Nigel StallardStatistics and Epidemiology, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.
IDeAl, Asterix and InSPiRe project groups

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMost statistical design and analysis methods for clinical trials have been developed and evaluated where at least several hundreds of patients could be recruited. These methods may not be suitable to evaluate therapies if the sample size is unavoidably small, which is usually termed by small populations. The specific sample size cut off, where the standard methods fail, needs to be investigated. In this paper, the authors present their view on new developments for design and analysis of clinical trials in small population groups, where conventional statistical methods may be inappropriate, e.g., because of lack of power or poor adherence to asymptotic approximations due to sample size restrictions.

methodFollowing the EMA/CHMP guideline on clinical trials in small populations, we consider directions for new developments in the area of statistical methodology for design and analysis of small population clinical trials. We relate the findings to the research activities of three projects, Asterix, IDeAl, and InSPiRe, which have received funding since 2013 within the FP7-HEALTH-2013-INNOVATION-1 framework of the EU. As not all aspects of the wide research area of small population clinical trials can be addressed, we focus on areas where we feel advances are needed and feasible.

resultsThe general framework of the EMA/CHMP guideline on small population clinical trials stimulates a number of research areas. These serve as the basis for the three projects, Asterix, IDeAl, and InSPiRe, which use various approaches to develop new statistical methodology for design and analysis of small population clinical trials. Small population clinical trials refer to trials with a limited number of patients. Small populations may result form rare diseases or specific subtypes of more common diseases. New statistical methodology needs to be tailored to these specific situations.

conclusionThe main results from the three projects will constitute a useful toolbox for improved design and analysis of small population clinical trials. They address various challenges presented by the EMA/CHMP guideline as well as recent discussions about extrapolation. There is a need for involvement of the patients' perspective in the planning and conduct of small population clinical trials for a successful therapy evaluation.

Indexed as

Data Interpretation, StatisticalClinical Trials as TopicHumansPopulation GroupsRare DiseasesEMA/CHMP Guideline on clinical trials in small populationsRare diseaseSmall population clinical trialsStatistical analysisStatistical designStatistical methods

Identifiers

PMID27301273
PMCPMC4908723

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.