Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27298349›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2016

Achieving climate connectivity in a fragmented landscape.

Jenny L McGuire, Joshua J Lawler, Brad H McRae, Tristan A Nuñez, David M Theobald

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 47 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
47citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

47 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Review
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  5. Article
  6. From science to impact: Conserving ecological connectivity in large conservation landscapes.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Review
  7. Article
  8. Quantitative support for the benefits of proactive management for wildlife disease control.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2025
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Trophically integrated ecometric models as tools for demonstrating spatial and temporal functional changes in mammal communities.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  18. Article
  19. The past as a lens for biodiversity conservation on a dynamically changing planet.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  20. A resilient and connected network of sites to sustain biodiversity under a changing climate.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Jenny L McGuireSchool of Biology, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA 30332; School of Environmental and Forest Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195; jmcguire@gatech.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-0663-6902
Joshua J LawlerSchool of Environmental and Forest Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195;
Brad H McRaeThe Nature Conservancy, Fort Collins, CO 80521;
Tristan A NuñezDepartment of Environmental Science, Policy, and Management, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720;
David M TheobaldConservation Science Partners, Fort Collins, CO 80524.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The contiguous United States contains a disconnected patchwork of natural lands. This fragmentation by human activities limits species' ability to track suitable climates as they rapidly shift. However, most models that project species movement needs have not examined where fragmentation will limit those movements. Here, we quantify climate connectivity, the capacity of landscape configuration to allow species movement in the face of dynamically shifting climate. Using this metric, we assess to what extent habitat fragmentation will limit species movements in response to climate change. We then evaluate how creating corridors to promote climate connectivity could potentially mitigate these restrictions, and we assess where strategies to increase connectivity will be most beneficial. By analyzing fragmentation patterns across the contiguous United States, we demonstrate that only 41% of natural land area retains enough connectivity to allow plants and animals to maintain climatic parity as the climate warms. In the eastern United States, less than 2% of natural area is sufficiently connected. Introducing corridors to facilitate movement through human-dominated regions increases the percentage of climatically connected natural area to 65%, with the most impactful gains in low-elevation regions, particularly in the southeastern United States. These climate connectivity analyses allow ecologists and conservation practitioners to determine the most effective regions for increasing connectivity. More importantly, our findings demonstrate that increasing climate connectivity is critical for allowing species to track rapidly changing climates, reconfiguring habitats to promote access to suitable climates.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeConservation of Natural ResourcesEcosystemAnimal MigrationAnimalsClimateGeographyUnited Statesclimate changeclimate connectivitycorridorshabitat fragmentation

Identifiers

PMID27298349
PMCPMC4932962

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.