Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27297341›Full record

SynthesisCirculation2016

Whole Grain Intake and Mortality From All Causes, Cardiovascular Disease, and Cancer: A Meta-Analysis of Prospective Cohort Studies.

Geng Zong, Alisa Gao, Frank B Hu, Qi Sun

Registry-linked trialAbstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Circulation, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT03214861 (Carbohydrate Quality and Quantity and Risk of Coronary Heart Disease Among US Women and Men.), which is not on this map. Cited by 93 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
93citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03214861 completednot on this map

Carbohydrate Quality and Quantity and Risk of Coronary Heart Disease Among US Women and Men.

TypeobservationalSponsorHarvard School of Public Health (HSPH)Ran1976 to 2012Enrolled117,885ConditionsCoronary Heart DiseaseArmsCarbohydrate quality
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

93 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  11. Not all ultra-processed foods are created equal: a review.BMJ nutrition, prevention & health · 2026
    Review
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33 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Geng ZongFrom the Departments of Nutrition (G.Z., A.G., F.B.H., Q.S.) and Epidemiology (F.B.H.), Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA; and Channing Division of Network Medicine, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA (F.B.H., Q.S.).
Alisa GaoFrom the Departments of Nutrition (G.Z., A.G., F.B.H., Q.S.) and Epidemiology (F.B.H.), Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA; and Channing Division of Network Medicine, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA (F.B.H., Q.S.).
Frank B HuFrom the Departments of Nutrition (G.Z., A.G., F.B.H., Q.S.) and Epidemiology (F.B.H.), Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA; and Channing Division of Network Medicine, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA (F.B.H., Q.S.).
Qi SunFrom the Departments of Nutrition (G.Z., A.G., F.B.H., Q.S.) and Epidemiology (F.B.H.), Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA; and Channing Division of Network Medicine, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA (F.B.H., Q.S.). qisun@hsph.harvard.edu.

Funding

Environmental Obesogens and Weight Change in the POUNDS LOST TrialR01ES022981 · NIEHS · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI SUN, QI · 2014 to 2024
$4.7M
Pollutant-related diabetes in the Nurses' Health Study IIR01ES021372 · NIEHS · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI GRANDJEAN, PHILIPPE ADAM, SUN, QI · 2013 to 2017
$2.9M
Novel Adipokines and Coronary Heart Disease in U.S. Men and Women with DiabetesR00HL098459 · NHLBI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI SUN, QI · 2012 to 2014
$729k
NHLBI NIH HHS R00 HL098459NIEHS NIH HHS R01 ES021372NIEHS NIH HHS R01 ES022981
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCurrent findings on associations between whole grain (WG) intake and mortality are inconsistent and have not been summarized by meta-analysis. METHODS AND

resultsWe searched for prospective cohort studies reporting associations between WG intake and mortality from all causes, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and cancer through February 2016 in Medline, Embase, and clinicaltrials.gov, and we further included unpublished results from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) III and NHANES 1999 to 2004. Fourteen studies were eligible for analysis, which included 786 076 participants, 97 867 total deaths, 23 957 CVD deaths, and 37 492 cancer deaths. Pooled relative risks comparing extreme WG categories (high versus low) were 0.84 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.80-0.88; P<0.001; I(2)=74%; Pheterogeneity<0.001) for total mortality, 0.82 (95% CI, 0.79-0.85; P<0.001; I(2)=0%; Pheterogeneity=0.53) for CVD mortality, and 0.88 (95% CI, 0.83-0.94; P<0.001; I(2)=54%; Pheterogeneity=0.02) for cancer mortality. Intakes of WG ingredients in dry weight were estimated among studies reporting relative risks for ≥3 quantitative WG categories, and they were <50 g/d among most study populations. The 2-stage dose-response random-effects meta-analysis showed monotonic associations between WG intake and mortality (Pnonlinearity>0.05). For each 16-g/d increase in WG (≈1 serving per d), relative risks of total, CVD, and cancer mortality were 0.93 (95% CI, 0.92-0.94; P<0.001), 0.91 (95% CI, 0.90-0.93; P<0.001), and 0.95 (95% CI, 0.94-0.96; P<0.001), respectively.

conclusionsOur meta-analysis demonstrated inverse associations of WG intake with total and cause-specific mortality, and findings were particularly strong and robust for CVD mortality. These findings further support current Dietary Guidelines for Americans, which recommends at least 3 servings per day of WG intake.

Indexed as

Whole GrainsCardiovascular DiseasesCohort StudiesDietHumansNeoplasmsProspective Studiesdietmeta-analysis [publication type]mortalitywhole grains

Identifiers

PMID27297341
PMCPMC4910651

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.