Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27282711›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2016

Clinical and Epidemiological Evidence of the Red Queen Hypothesis in Pneumococcal Serotype Dynamics.

Chris Stockmann, Krow Ampofo, Andrew T Pavia, Anne J Blaschke, Edward O Mason, Angela P Presson, Larry J Forney, Carrie L Byington

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. What to Do with the New Antibiotics?Antibiotics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023
    Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Chris StockmannDepartment of Pediatrics, University of Utah, Salt Lake City.
Krow AmpofoDepartment of Pediatrics, University of Utah, Salt Lake City.
Andrew T PaviaDepartment of Pediatrics, University of Utah, Salt Lake City.
Anne J BlaschkeDepartment of Pediatrics, University of Utah, Salt Lake City.
Edward O MasonBaylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas.
Angela P PressonStudy Design and Biostatistics Center, University of Utah, Salt Lake City.
Larry J ForneyDepartment of Biological Sciences, University of Idaho, Moscow.
Carrie L ByingtonDepartment of Pediatrics, University of Utah, Salt Lake City.

Funding

University of Utah Center for Clinical and Translational ScienceUL1TR001067 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF UTAH · PI DERE, WILLARD H., HESS, RACHEL · 2013 to 2017
$19.8M
UNIVERSITY OF UTAH CENTER FOR CLINICAL AND TRANSLATIONAL SCIENCE-UL1: BPCAUL1RR025764 · NCRR · UNIVERSITY OF UTAH · PI MCCLAIN, DONALD A. · 2008 to 2011
$19.4M
The Evolution of Protein FlexibilityP20RR016448 · NCRR · UNIVERSITY OF IDAHO · PI ROBISON, BARRIE D · 2002 to 2011
$19.3M
HT-Film-Array: a system to assess respiratory viruses with emphasis on influenzaU01AI074419 · NIAID · BIOFIRE DEFENSE, LLC. · PI PORITZ, MARK AARON · 2007 to 2011
$8.2M
Epidemiology and Etiology of Hospitalized Pneumonia in ChildrenU18IP000303 · IP · UNIVERSITY OF UTAH · PI AMPOFO, KROW · 2009 to 2010
$1.6M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001067NCIRD CDC HHS U18 IP000303NCRR NIH HHS P20 RR016448NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR025764NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI074419
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe Red Queen hypothesis is an evolutionary theory that describes the reciprocal coevolution of competing species. We sought to study whether introduction of the 7- and 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV7 and PCV13, respectively) altered pneumococcal serotype dynamics among children with invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) as predicted by the Red Queen hypothesis.

methodsThis study examined pneumococcal isolates (n = 641) obtained from children <18 years of age hospitalized with IPD from 1997 to 2014 in Utah. A review of the literature also identified several additional studies conducted in the United States and Europe that were used to test the external generalizability of our Utah findings. Simpson's index was used to quantify pneumococcal serotype diversity.

resultsIn Utah, the introduction of PCV7 and PCV13 was associated with rapid increases in serotype diversity (P < .001). Serotypes rarely present before vaccine introduction emerged as common causes of IPD. Diversity then decreased (P < .001) as competition selected for the fittest serotypes and new evolutionary equilibriums were established. This pattern was also observed more broadly in the United States, the United Kingdom, Norway, and Spain.

conclusionsThis vaccine-driven example of human/bacterial coevolution appears to confirm the Red Queen hypothesis, which reveals a limitation of serotype-specific vaccines and offers insights that may facilitate alternative strategies for the elimination of IPD.

Indexed as

Heptavalent Pneumococcal Conjugate VaccinePneumococcal VaccinesChild, PreschoolEvolution, MolecularHumansPneumococcal InfectionsRetrospective StudiesSerogroupStreptococcus pneumoniaeUtah13-valent pneumococcal vaccineHeptavalent Pneumococcal Conjugate VaccinePneumococcal Vaccineschildrenevolutionserotype replacementvaccination

Identifiers

PMID27282711
PMCPMC4981760

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.