ArticlePLoS neglected tropical diseases2016
Redefining the Australian Anthrax Belt: Modeling the Ecological Niche and Predicting the Geographic Distribution of Bacillus anthracis.
Article in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers.
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Who cites it
27 citing papers in PubMed.
- Spatiotemporal dynamics ofFrontiers in microbiology · 2025Article
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- Drivers and potential distribution of anthrax occurrence and incidence at national and sub-county levels across Kenya from 2006 to 2020 using INLA.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- The potential distribution of Bacillus anthracis suitability across Uganda using INLA.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Spatiotemporal Patterns of Anthrax, Vietnam, 1990-2015.Emerging infectious diseases · 2022Article
- Modelling the ecological niche of naturally occurring anthrax at global and circumpolar extents using an ensemble modelling framework.Transboundary and emerging diseases · 2022Article
- Modeling the environmental suitability for Bacillus anthracis in the Qinghai Lake Basin, China.PloS one · 2022Article
- Mapping habitat suitability for Asiatic black bear and red panda in Makalu Barun National Park of Nepal from Maxent and GARP models.Scientific reports · 2021Article
- An Estimate of Global Anthrax Prevalence in Livestock: A Meta-analysis.Veterinary world · 2021Article
- Modeling the Potential Future Distribution of Anthrax Outbreaks under Multiple Climate Change Scenarios for Kenya.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021Article
- Modeling the spatial distribution of anthrax in southern Kenya.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2021Article
- Article
- Genetic Diversity of AustralianMicroorganisms · 2020Article
- Predicting the periodic risk of anthrax in livestock in Victoria, Australia, using meteorological data.International journal of biometeorology · 2020Article
- Potential distributions of Bacillus anthracis and Bacillus cereus biovar anthracis causing anthrax in Africa.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2020Article
- Predicting the Geographic Distribution of theThe American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2020Article
- Article
- Phylogenetic Placement of Isolates Within the Trans-Eurasian Clade A.Br.008/009 ofMicroorganisms · 2019Article
- Linking Geospatial and Laboratory Sciences to Define Mechanisms behind Landscape Level Drivers of Anthrax Outbreaks.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2019Article
- The global distribution of Bacillus anthracis and associated anthrax risk to humans, livestock and wildlife.Nature microbiology · 2019Article
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7 authors.
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Abstract
The ecology and distribution of B. anthracis in Australia is not well understood, despite the continued occurrence of anthrax outbreaks in the eastern states of the country. Efforts to estimate the spatial extent of the risk of disease have been limited to a qualitative definition of an anthrax belt extending from southeast Queensland through the centre of New South Wales and into northern Victoria. This definition of the anthrax belt does not consider the role of environmental conditions in the distribution of B. anthracis. Here, we used the genetic algorithm for rule-set prediction model system (GARP), historical anthrax outbreaks and environmental data to model the ecological niche of B. anthracis and predict its potential geographic distribution in Australia. Our models reveal the niche of B. anthracis in Australia is characterized by a narrow range of ecological conditions concentrated in two disjunct corridors. The most dominant corridor, used to redefine a new anthrax belt, parallels the Eastern Highlands and runs from north Victoria to central east Queensland through the centre of New South Wales. This study has redefined the anthrax belt in eastern Australia and provides insights about the ecological factors that limit the distribution of B. anthracis at the continental scale for Australia. The geographic distributions identified can help inform anthrax surveillance strategies by public and veterinary health agencies.
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