Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27279131›Full record

Observational studyClinical cardiology2016

Admission Serum Calcium Levels Improve the GRACE Risk Score Prediction of Hospital Mortality in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndrome.

Shao-di Yan, Xiao-Jing Liu, Yong Peng, Tian-Li Xia, Wei Liu, Jiay-Yu Tsauo, Yuan-Ning Xu, Hua Chai, Fang-Yang Huang, Mao Chen and 1 more

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Clinical cardiology, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Shao-di YanLaboratory of Cardiovascular Diseases, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Xiao-Jing LiuLaboratory of Cardiovascular Diseases, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Yong PengDepartment of Cardiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Tian-Li XiaDepartment of Cardiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Wei LiuDepartment of Cardiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Jiay-Yu TsauoDepartment of Cardiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Yuan-Ning XuDepartment of Cardiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Hua ChaiLaboratory of Cardiovascular Diseases, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Fang-Yang HuangDepartment of Cardiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Mao ChenDepartment of Cardiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China. hmaochen@vip.sina.com.
De-Jia HuangLaboratory of Cardiovascular Diseases, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score has been extensively validated to predict risk during hospitalization in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Recently, serum calcium has been suggested as an independent predictor for in-hospital mortality in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction; however, the relationship between the 2 has not been evaluated. HYPOTHESIS: The combination of GRACE risk score and serum calcium could provide better performance in risk prediction.

methodsThe study enrolled 2229 consecutive patients with ACS. Independent predictors were identified by a multivariate logistic regression model. The incremental prognostic value added by serum calcium to the GRACE score was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic, net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI).

resultsPatients in the upper quartiles of serum calcium presented with lower in-hospital mortality (odds ratios for 3 upper quartiles vs lowest quartile, respectively: 0.443, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.206-0.953; 0.243, 95% CI: 0.090-0.654; and 0.210, 95% CI: 0.082-0.538). Area under the curve increased significantly after adding serum calcium to the GRACE score (0.685 vs 0.746; Z = 2.617, P = 0.009). Furthermore, inclusion of serum calcium in the GRACE score enhanced NRI (0.524; P = 0.009) and IDI (0.011; P = 0.003).

conclusionsLower serum calcium level on admission is a possible indicator of increased risk of in-hospital mortality in ACS patients. Inclusion of serum calcium in the GRACE score may lead to a more accurate prediction of this risk. Large prospective studies are needed to confirm this finding.

Indexed as

Decision Support TechniquesHospital MortalityPatient AdmissionAcute Coronary SyndromeAgedArea Under CurveBiomarkersCalciumChi-Square DistributionCoronary AngiographyDatabases, FactualDiscriminant AnalysisFemaleHumansLogistic ModelsMaleBiomarkersCalcium

Identifiers

PMID27279131
PMCPMC6490808

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.