Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27272135›Full record

ArticleJournal of medical systems2016

Forecasting the Emergency Department Patients Flow.

Mohamed Afilal, Farouk Yalaoui, Frédéric Dugardin, Lionel Amodeo, David Laplanche, Philippe Blua

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Journal of medical systems, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
28citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

28 citing papers in PubMed.

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  13. Predicting emergency department visits in a large teaching hospital.International journal of emergency medicine · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Mohamed AfilalInstitut Charles Delaunay, LOSI, Université de Technologie de Troyes UMR 6281, CNRS, 12 Rue Marie Curie, CS 42060, cedex, 10004, Troyes, France. mohamed.afilal@utt.fr.
Farouk YalaouiInstitut Charles Delaunay, LOSI, Université de Technologie de Troyes UMR 6281, CNRS, 12 Rue Marie Curie, CS 42060, cedex, 10004, Troyes, France.
Frédéric DugardinInstitut Charles Delaunay, LOSI, Université de Technologie de Troyes UMR 6281, CNRS, 12 Rue Marie Curie, CS 42060, cedex, 10004, Troyes, France.
Lionel AmodeoInstitut Charles Delaunay, LOSI, Université de Technologie de Troyes UMR 6281, CNRS, 12 Rue Marie Curie, CS 42060, cedex, 10004, Troyes, France.
David LaplancheDépartement d'Information Médicale, Centre Hospitalier de Troyes, 101 Avenue Anatole, 10000, Troyes, France.
Philippe BluaDépartement d'Information Médicale, Centre Hospitalier de Troyes, 101 Avenue Anatole, 10000, Troyes, France.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Emergency department (ED) have become the patient's main point of entrance in modern hospitals causing it frequent overcrowding, thus hospital managers are increasingly paying attention to the ED in order to provide better quality service for patients. One of the key elements for a good management strategy is demand forecasting. In this case, forecasting patients flow, which will help decision makers to optimize human (doctors, nurses…) and material(beds, boxs…) resources allocation. The main interest of this research is forecasting daily attendance at an emergency department. The study was conducted on the Emergency Department of Troyes city hospital center, France, in which we propose a new practical ED patients classification that consolidate the CCMU and GEMSA categories into one category and innovative time-series based models to forecast long and short term daily attendance. The models we developed for this case study shows very good performances (up to 91,24 % for the annual Total flow forecast) and robustness to epidemic periods.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalEfficiency, OrganizationalEmergency Service, HospitalFranceHealth Services Needs and DemandHumansQuality of Health CareTime FactorsTriageWaiting ListsEmergency department flowForecastingPatient classificationTime series

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.