ArticleEpidemics2016
Decision-making for foot-and-mouth disease control: Objectives matter.
Article in Epidemics, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 49 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
49 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Mechanistic models of Rift Valley fever virus transmission: A systematic review.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2022Pooled it
- Challenges to the Application of Spatially Explicit Stochastic Simulation Models for Foot-and-Mouth Disease Control in Endemic Settings: A Systematic Review.Computational and mathematical methods in medicine · 2020Pooled it
- A stochastic framework to assess the optimal allocation of limited vaccine doses in foot-and-mouth disease outbreaks using game theory.Frontiers in veterinary science · 2026Article
- Unifying human infectious disease models and real-time awareness of population- and subpopulation-level intervention effectiveness.Royal Society open science · 2025Article
- Evaluating infectious disease forecasts with allocation scoring rules.Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, (Statistics in Society) · 2024Article
- When should lockdown be implemented? Devising cost-effective strategies for managing epidemics amid vaccine uncertainty.PLoS computational biology · 2024Article
- Scenario design for infectious disease projections: Integrating concepts from decision analysis and experimental design.Epidemics · 2024Article
- Modeling target-density-based cull strategies to contain foot-and-mouth disease outbreaks.PeerJ · 2024Article
- Scenario Design for Infectious Disease Projections: Integrating Concepts from Decision Analysis and Experimental Design.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2023Article
- Understanding the impact of disease and vaccine mechanisms on the importance of optimal vaccine allocation.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2023Article
- Multiple models for outbreak decision support in the face of uncertainty.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023Article
- The Importance of Livestock Demography and Infrastructure in Driving Foot and Mouth Disease Dynamics.Life (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- Vote-processing rules for combining control recommendations from multiple models.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2022Article
- Optimal health and economic impact of non-pharmaceutical intervention measures prior and post vaccination in England: a mathematical modelling study.Royal Society open science · 2022Article
- Modelling livestock infectious disease control policy under differing social perspectives on vaccination behaviour.PLoS computational biology · 2022Article
- Economic evaluation of disease elimination: An extension to the net-benefit framework and application to human African trypanosomiasis.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021Article
- Governance structure affects transboundary disease management under alternative objectives.BMC public health · 2021Article
- Synergistic interventions to control COVID-19: Mass testing and isolation mitigates reliance on distancing.PLoS computational biology · 2021Article
- On the optimal control of SIR model with Erlang-distributed infectious period: isolation strategies.Journal of mathematical biology · 2021Article
- Weighing the unknowns: Value of Information for biological and operational uncertainty in invasion management.The Journal of applied ecology · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
13 authors.
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Abstract
Formal decision-analytic methods can be used to frame disease control problems, the first step of which is to define a clear and specific objective. We demonstrate the imperative of framing clearly-defined management objectives in finding optimal control actions for control of disease outbreaks. We illustrate an analysis that can be applied rapidly at the start of an outbreak when there are multiple stakeholders involved with potentially multiple objectives, and when there are also multiple disease models upon which to compare control actions. The output of our analysis frames subsequent discourse between policy-makers, modellers and other stakeholders, by highlighting areas of discord among different management objectives and also among different models used in the analysis. We illustrate this approach in the context of a hypothetical foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) outbreak in Cumbria, UK using outputs from five rigorously-studied simulation models of FMD spread. We present both relative rankings and relative performance of controls within each model and across a range of objectives. Results illustrate how control actions change across both the base metric used to measure management success and across the statistic used to rank control actions according to said metric. This work represents a first step towards reconciling the extensive modelling work on disease control problems with frameworks for structured decision making.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.