Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27261338›Full record

ArticleGut2017

Incidence of and survival after subsequent cancers in carriers of pathogenic MMR variants with previous cancer: a report from the prospective Lynch syndrome database.

Pål Møller, Toni Seppälä, Inge Bernstein, Elke Holinski-Feder, Paola Sala, D Gareth Evans, Annika Lindblom, Finlay Macrae, Ignacio Blanco, Rolf Sijmons and 29 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Gut, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 85 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
85citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
13.8field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

85 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 166 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Guideline
  2. Pooled it
  3. Delphi Initiative for Early-Onset Colorectal Cancer (DIRECt) International Management Guidelines.Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association · 2023
    Guideline
  4. Pooled it
  5. Guideline
  6. Guideline
  7. Trial
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Pancreatic cancer.Nature reviews. Disease primers · 2026
    Review
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Cost-effectiveness of Lynch Syndrome Screening in Colorectal Cancer: Universal Germline vs Sequential Screening.Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association · 2025
    Article
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

25 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

39 authors at 20 institutions in 11 countries.

Pål MøllerResearch Group Inherited Cancer, Department of Medical Genetics, The Norwegian Radium Hospital, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.
Toni SeppäläDepartment of Surgery, Central Finland Health Care District, Jyväskylä, Finland.
Inge BernsteinThe Danish Hereditary Non-polyposis Colorectal Cancer Register, Clinical Research Centre, Copenhagen University Hospital, Hvidovre, Denmark.
Elke Holinski-FederMedizinische Klinik und Poliklinik IV, Campus Innenstadt, Klinikum der Universität München, Munich, Germany.
Paola SalaUnit of Hereditary Digestive Tract Tumors IRCCS, Istituto Nazionale Tumori, Milan, Italy.
D Gareth EvansManchester Centre for Genomic Medicine, Central Manchester University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK.
Annika LindblomDepartment of Molecular Medicine and Surgery, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Finlay MacraeColorectal Medicine and Genetics, The Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Ignacio BlancoHereditary Cancer Program, Institut Català d'Oncologia-IDIBELL, L'Hospitalet de Llobregat, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-7414-7481
Rolf SijmonsDepartment of Genetics, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.
Jacqueline JeffriesInstitute of Medical Genetics, Cardiff University School of Medicine, Cardiff, UK.
Hans VasenDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Leiden University Medical Centre, Leiden, The Netherlands.
John BurnInstitute of Genetic Medicine Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Sigve NakkenDepartment of Tumor Biology, Institute of Cancer Research, The Norwegian Radium Hospital, Part of Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.
Eivind HovigDepartment of Tumor Biology, Institute of Cancer Research, The Norwegian Radium Hospital, Part of Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.
Einar Andreas RødlandDepartment of Tumor Biology, Institute of Cancer Research, The Norwegian Radium Hospital, Part of Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.
Kukatharmini TharmaratnamDepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, Lancaster University, Lancaster, UK.
Wouter H de Vos Tot Nederveen CappelDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Isala Clinics, Zwolle, The Netherlands.
James HillDepartment of Surgery, Central Manchester University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust and University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.
Juul WijnenDepartment of Clinical Genetics and Department of Human Genetics Leiden University Medical Centre, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Mark JenkinsCentre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia.
Kate GreenManchester Centre for Genomic Medicine, Central Manchester University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK.
Fiona LallooManchester Centre for Genomic Medicine, Central Manchester University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK.
Lone SundeThe Danish Hereditary Non-polyposis Colorectal Cancer Register, Clinical Research Centre, Copenhagen University Hospital, Hvidovre, Denmark.
Miriam MintsDivision of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Department of Women's and Children's health, Karolinska Institutet, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden.
Lucio BertarioUnit of Hereditary Digestive Tract Tumors IRCCS, Istituto Nazionale Tumori, Milan, Italy.
Marta PinedaHereditary Cancer Program, Institut Català d'Oncologia-IDIBELL, L'Hospitalet de Llobregat, Barcelona, Spain.
Matilde NavarroHereditary Cancer Program, Institut Català d'Oncologia-IDIBELL, L'Hospitalet de Llobregat, Barcelona, Spain.
Monika MorakMedizinische Klinik und Poliklinik IV, Campus Innenstadt, Klinikum der Universität München, Munich, Germany.
Laura Renkonen-SinisaloDepartment of Surgery, Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland.
Ian M FraylingInstitute of Medical Genetics, Cardiff University School of Medicine, Cardiff, UK.
John-Paul PlazzerColorectal Medicine and Genetics, The Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Kirsi PylvanainenDepartment of Education and Science, Central Finland Health Care District, Jyväskylä, Finland.
Maurizio GenuardiInstitute of Genomic Medicine, "A. Gemelli" Faculty of Medicine, Catholic University of the Sacred Heart, Rome, Italy.
Jukka-Pekka MecklinDepartment of Education and Science, Central Finland Health Care District, Jyväskylä, Finland.
Gabriela MösleinSurgical Center for Hereditary Tumors, HELIOS University Clinic Wuppertal, University Witten-Herdecke, Wuppertal, Germany.
Julian R SampsonInstitute of Medical Genetics, Cardiff University School of Medicine, Cardiff, UK.
Gabriel CapellaHereditary Cancer Program, Institut Català d'Oncologia-IDIBELL, L'Hospitalet de Llobregat, Barcelona, Spain.
Mallorca Group (http://mallorca-group.org)
Institut d'Investigació Biomédica de Bellvitge · ESOslo University Hospital · NOUniversity of Manchester · GBCardiff University · GBCentral Finland Health Care District · FIFondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori · ITLeiden University · NLLMU Klinikum · DEThe Royal Melbourne Hospital · AUAalborg University Hospital · DKAarhus University · DKHelios Universitätsklinikum Wuppertal · DEIsala · NLKarolinska Institutet · SEKarolinska University Hospital · SELancaster University · GBNewcastle University · GBThe University of Melbourne · AUUniversità Cattolica del Sacro Cuore · ITUniversity Medical Center Groningen · NL

Funding

Cancer Research UK 15934
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveToday most patients with Lynch syndrome (LS) survive their first cancer. There is limited information on the incidences and outcome of subsequent cancers. The present study addresses three questions: (i) what is the cumulative incidence of a subsequent cancer; (ii) in which organs do subsequent cancers occur; and (iii) what is the survival following these cancers?

designInformation was collated on prospectively organised surveillance and prospectively observed outcomes in patients with LS who had cancer prior to inclusion and analysed by age, gender and genetic variants.

results1273 patients with LS from 10 countries were followed up for 7753 observation years. 318 patients (25.7%) developed 341 first subsequent cancers, including colorectal (n=147, 43%), upper GI, pancreas or bile duct (n=37, 11%) and urinary tract (n=32, 10%). The cumulative incidences for any subsequent cancer from age 40 to age 70 years were 73% for pathogenic

conclusionsRelative incidence of subsequent cancer compared with incidence of first cancer was slightly but insignificantly higher than cancer incidence in patients with LS without previous cancer (range 0.94-1.49). The favourable survival after subsequent cancers validated continued follow-up to prevent death from cancer. The interactive website http://lscarisk.org was expanded to calculate the risks by gender, genetic variant and age for subsequent cancer for any patient with LS with previous cancer.

Indexed as

Colonic NeoplasmsColorectal Neoplasms, Hereditary NonpolyposisAdultAgedDisease ProgressionDNA-Binding ProteinsDNA Mismatch RepairEuropeFemaleGenetic VariationGerm-Line MutationHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedMutL Protein Homolog 1DNA-Binding ProteinsG-T mismatch-binding proteinMLH1 protein, humanMSH2 protein, humanMutL Protein Homolog 1MutS Homolog 2 ProteinCANCER GENETICSCOLORECTAL CANCER GENESEPIDEMIOLOGYINHERITED CANCERSSCREENING

Identifiers

PMID27261338
PMCPMC5561364
OpenAlexW2415124913

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.