Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27260306›Full record

ArticleBMC medical informatics and decision making2016

Logistic regression model can reduce unnecessary artificial liver support in hepatitis B virus-associated acute-on-chronic liver failure: decision curve analysis.

Gang Qin, Zhao-Lian Bian, Yi Shen, Lei Zhang, Xiao-Hong Zhu, Yan-Mei Liu, Jian-Guo Shao

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medical informatics and decision making, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
0.5field-weighted citation impact, top 31% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 6 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Gang QinCenter for Liver Diseases, Nantong Third People's Hospital, Nantong University, Jiangsu, China. tonygqin@ntu.edu.cn.
Zhao-Lian BianCenter for Liver Diseases, Nantong Third People's Hospital, Nantong University, Jiangsu, China.
Yi ShenDepartment of Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, School of Public Health, Nantong University, Jiangsu, China.
Lei ZhangFaculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Science, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Xiao-Hong ZhuCenter for Liver Diseases, Nantong Third People's Hospital, Nantong University, Jiangsu, China.
Yan-Mei LiuDepartment of Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, School of Public Health, Nantong University, Jiangsu, China.
Jian-Guo ShaoCenter for Liver Diseases, Nantong Third People's Hospital, Nantong University, Jiangsu, China. shaojianguo4144@163.com.
Wuxi Third People's Hospital · CNNantong University · CNMonash University · AU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSeveral models have been proposed to predict the short-term outcome of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) after treatment. We aimed to determine whether better decisions for artificial liver support system (ALSS) treatment could be made with a model than without, through decision curve analysis (DCA).

methodsThe medical profiles of a cohort of 232 patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-associated ACLF were retrospectively analyzed to explore the role of plasma prothrombin activity (PTA), model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and logistic regression model (LRM) in identifying patients who could benefit from ALSS. The accuracy and reliability of PTA, MELD and LRM were evaluated with previously reported cutoffs. DCA was performed to evaluate the clinical role of these models in predicting the treatment outcome.

resultsWith the cut-off value of 0.2, LRM had sensitivity of 92.6 %, specificity of 42.3 % and an area under the receiving operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.68, which showed superior discrimination over PTA and MELD. DCA revealed that the LRM-guided ALSS treatment was superior over other strategies including "treating all" and MELD-guided therapy, for the midrange threshold probabilities of 16 to 64 %.

conclusionsThe use of LRM-guided ALSS treatment could increase both the accuracy and efficiency of this procedure, allowing the avoidance of unnecessary ALSS.

Indexed as

Liver, ArtificialModels, StatisticalRegression AnalysisUnnecessary ProceduresAcute-On-Chronic Liver FailureAdultAgedClinical Decision-MakingFemaleHepatitis B, ChronicHumansLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesYoung AdultAcute-on-chronic liver failureDecision curve analysisHepatitis B virusLogistic regression modelModel for end-stage liver disease

Identifiers

PMID27260306
PMCPMC4893223
OpenAlexW2417377035

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.