Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27217564›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2016

Mobile phone data highlights the role of mass gatherings in the spreading of cholera outbreaks.

Flavio Finger, Tina Genolet, Lorenzo Mari, Guillaume Constantin de Magny, Noël Magloire Manga, Andrea Rinaldo, Enrico Bertuzzo

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 79 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
79citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

79 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Epidemicity conditions in spatial models of infectious diseases.Bollettino della Unione matematica italiana (2008) · 2026
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  5. Use of cell phone data to correct Île-de-France population estimates and SARS-CoV-2 incidence, July to September, 2021: a proof-of-concept exercise.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2025
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19 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Flavio FingerLaboratory of Ecohydrology, École Polytechnique Fédérale Lausanne, 1015 Lausanne, Switzerland;
Tina GenoletLaboratory of Ecohydrology, École Polytechnique Fédérale Lausanne, 1015 Lausanne, Switzerland;
Lorenzo MariDipartimento di Elettronica, Informazione e Bioingegneria, Politecnico di Milano, 20133 Milano, Italy;
Guillaume Constantin de MagnyMaladies Infectieuses et Vecteurs: Ecologie, Génétique, Evolution et Contrôle, Institute of Research for Development, 64501 Montpellier, France;
Noël Magloire MangaService des Maladies Infectieuses et Tropicales de l'Hôpital de la Paix, Unité de Formation et de Recherche en Sciences de la Santé, Université Assane Seck de Ziguinchor, 27000 Ziguinchor, Senegal;
Andrea RinaldoLaboratory of Ecohydrology, École Polytechnique Fédérale Lausanne, 1015 Lausanne, Switzerland; Dipartimento dell'Ingegneria Civile, Edile ed Ambientale, Università di Padova, 35131 Padova, Italy andrea.rinaldo@epfl.ch enrico.bertuzzo@epfl.ch.
Enrico BertuzzoLaboratory of Ecohydrology, École Polytechnique Fédérale Lausanne, 1015 Lausanne, Switzerland; andrea.rinaldo@epfl.ch enrico.bertuzzo@epfl.ch.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The spatiotemporal evolution of human mobility and the related fluctuations of population density are known to be key drivers of the dynamics of infectious disease outbreaks. These factors are particularly relevant in the case of mass gatherings, which may act as hotspots of disease transmission and spread. Understanding these dynamics, however, is usually limited by the lack of accurate data, especially in developing countries. Mobile phone call data provide a new, first-order source of information that allows the tracking of the evolution of mobility fluxes with high resolution in space and time. Here, we analyze a dataset of mobile phone records of ∼150,000 users in Senegal to extract human mobility fluxes and directly incorporate them into a spatially explicit, dynamic epidemiological framework. Our model, which also takes into account other drivers of disease transmission such as rainfall, is applied to the 2005 cholera outbreak in Senegal, which totaled more than 30,000 reported cases. Our findings highlight the major influence that a mass gathering, which took place during the initial phase of the outbreak, had on the course of the epidemic. Such an effect could not be explained by classic, static approaches describing human mobility. Model results also show how concentrated efforts toward disease control in a transmission hotspot could have an important effect on the large-scale progression of an outbreak.

Indexed as

Cell PhoneDisease OutbreaksModels, TheoreticalPopulation DensityCholeraHumansRainSenegalcholera epidemicsmobile phone call dataspatially explicit epidemiological modelswaterborne disease

Identifiers

PMID27217564
PMCPMC4988598

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.