Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27215616›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of epidemiology2016

Using Mendelian randomization to investigate a possible causal relationship between adiposity and increased bone mineral density at different skeletal sites in children.

John P Kemp, Adrian Sayers, George Davey Smith, Jonathan H Tobias, David M Evans

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Article in International journal of epidemiology, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 39 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
39citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

39 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

John P KempUniversity of Queensland Diamantina Institute, Translational Research Institute, Brisbane, QLD, Australia.
Adrian SayersSchool of Clinical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
George Davey SmithMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit and.
Jonathan H TobiasSchool of Clinical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
David M EvansUniversity of Queensland Diamantina Institute, Translational Research Institute, Brisbane, QLD, Australia d.evans1@uq.edu.au.

Funding

Medical Research Council G9815508Medical Research Council MC_PC_15018Medical Research Council MC_UU_12013/1Medical Research Council MC_UU_12013/4Wellcome Trust 092731Wellcome Trust 102215
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLean mass is positively associated with bone mineral density (BMD). However, the relationship between adiposity and BMD is more controversial. In particular, it is unclear if the observational association between the two reflects a causal effect of fat mass on BMD. Previous Mendelian randomization (MR) studies using variants in the FTO and MC4R genes as genetic instruments for adiposity have suggested that fat mass does indeed causally influence BMD. However, it is possible that these genetic variants pleiotropically influence lean mass and affect BMD through pathways independent of adiposity, invalidating one of the core assumptions of MR and complicating interpretation of the analysis.

methodsTo investigate whether adiposity causally affects BMD, we investigated the relationship between fat mass and BMD at the skull (SK), upper limbs (UL) and lower limbs (LL), spine (SP) and pelvis (PE), using 32 body mass index (BMI)-associated SNPs, including a variant near ADCY3 that was strongly associated with fat but not lean mass in our sample. Dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) scans and genetic data were available for 5221 subjects (mean age 9.9 years) from the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children. We performed a series of MR analyses involving single BMI-associated SNPs and allelic scores of these SNPs. We used new extensions of the MR method including MR Egger regression and multivariable MR, which are more robust to possible confounding effects due to horizontal pleiotropy and, in the case of multivariable MR, specifically account for the effect of lean mass in the analysis. Bidirectional Mendelian randomization analysis was also performed to examine whether BMD causally affected BMI and adiposity.

resultsObservationally, fat mass was strongly positively related to BMD at all sites, but more weakly at the skull. Instrumental variables (IV) analyses using an allelic score of BMI SNPs suggested that fat mass was causally related to LL-BMD, UL-BMD, SP-BMD and PE-BMD but not SK-BMD. Multivariable MR, Egger regression and IV analyses involving the ADCY3 variant suggested a positive causal effect of adiposity on all sites except the skull, and that an effect was present even after taking lean mass into account. Finally, IV analyses using BMD allelic scores showed no evidence of reverse causality between BMD and fat mass.

conclusionsOur results suggest that adiposity is causally related to increased BMD at all sites except the skull, perhaps reflecting positive effects of loading on bone formation at weighted but not unweighted sites. In contrast, we found no evidence for BMD causally affecting BMI or measures of adiposity. Our results illustrate how MR can be used profitably to investigate clinical questions relevant to osteoporosis.

Indexed as

Mendelian Randomization AnalysisPolymorphism, Single NucleotideAbsorptiometry, PhotonAdenylyl CyclasesAdiposityBody Mass IndexBone and BonesBone DensityChildCross-Sectional StudiesEnglandFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMultivariate Analysisadenylate cyclase 3Adenylyl CyclasesALSPACbody mass indexBonegeneticsMendelian randomization

Identifiers

PMID27215616
PMCPMC5100609

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.