Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27208341›Full record

ArticleDiabetes care2016

Prognostic Classification Factors Associated With Development of Multiple Autoantibodies, Dysglycemia, and Type 1 Diabetes-A Recursive Partitioning Analysis.

Ping Xu, Jeffrey P Krischer, Type 1 Diabetes TrialNet Study Group

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Diabetes care, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 30 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
30citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
6.6field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

30 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 45 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Impact of screening programmes for type 1 diabetes in youth: A systematic review and meta-analysis.Diabetic medicine : a journal of the British Diabetic Association · 2026
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Time to reframe the disease staging system for type 1 diabetes.The lancet. Diabetes & endocrinology · 2024
    Review
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Diabetes type 1: Can it be treated as an autoimmune disorder?Reviews in endocrine & metabolic disorders · 2021
    Review
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Birth and coming of age of islet autoantibodies.Clinical and experimental immunology · 2019
    Review
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Transcription Factor 7-Like 2 (Diabetes care · 2018
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Ping XuHealth Informatics Institute, College of Medicine, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL xup@epi.usf.edu.
Jeffrey P KrischerHealth Informatics Institute, College of Medicine, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL.
Type 1 Diabetes TrialNet Study Group
University of South Florida · US

Funding

Data Coordinating Center for Type 1 Diabetes TrialNet (UC4)USF: TrialNet UC4-3UC4DK117009 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH FLORIDA · PI KRISCHER, JEFFREY P · 2017 to 2019
$49.6M
NIDDK Type 1 Diabetes TrialNet Data Coordinating CenterUC4DK097835 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH FLORIDA · PI KRISCHER, JEFFREY P · 2012 to 2012
$45.0M
NIDDK Type 1 Diabetes TrialNet Data Coordinating CenterUC4DK106993 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH FLORIDA · PI KRISCHER, JEFFREY P · 2015 to 2015
$36.6M
Northwest Clinical Center for Type 1 Diabetes - TrialNetU01DK061034 · NIDDK · BENAROYA RESEARCH INST AT VIRGINIA MASON · PI GREENBAUM, CARLA J · 2001 to 2018
$10.3M
Type I Diabetes Trialnet at StsnfordU01DK061042 · NIDDK · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI WILSON, DARRELL M · 2001 to 2018
$8.5M
UCSF Trialnet: A Phase II Trial of Imatimib in New Onset Type I DiabetesU01DK061010 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI GITELMAN, STEPHEN E · 2001 to 2018
$8.1M
Type 1 Diabetes-A Proposal for Prevention & InterventionU01DK085476 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI MORAN, ANTOINETTE M. · 2009 to 2018
$7.1M
Prediction and Prevention of Type I DiabetesU01DK061058 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI BECKER, DOROTHY J · 2001 to 2018
$6.5M
TrialNet: University of Florida Clinical Center and NetworkU01DK085461 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA · PI HALLER, MICHAEL JAMES · 2009 to 2018
$5.9M
TrialNet: Diabetes Type 1 PreventionU01DK085509 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI GOTTLIEB, PETER A · 2009 to 2018
$5.8M
Type 1 Diabetes TrialNet Clinical Center: Effects of Alefacept in New Onset T1DU01DK085499 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF MIAMI SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI BAIDAL, DAVID · 2009 to 2018
$4.9M
Vanderbilt University: Clinical Center Application, Type 1 Diabetes TrialNetU01DK085465 · NIDDK · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI RUSSELL, WILLIAM E · 2009 to 2018
$4.8M
NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK061010NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK061034NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK061042NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK061058NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085453NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085461NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085463NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085465NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085466NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085476NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085499NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085504NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085505NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085509NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK103153NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK103180NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK103266NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK106984NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK107014NIDDK NIH HHS UC4 DK097835NIDDK NIH HHS UC4 DK106993NIDDK NIH HHS UC4 DK117009
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo define prognostic classification factors associated with the progression from single to multiple autoantibodies, multiple autoantibodies to dysglycemia, and dysglycemia to type 1 diabetes onset in relatives of individuals with type 1 diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND

methodsThree distinct cohorts of subjects from the Type 1 Diabetes TrialNet Pathway to Prevention Study were investigated separately. A recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) was used to determine the risk classes. Clinical characteristics, including genotype, antibody titers, and metabolic markers were analyzed.

resultsAge and GAD65 autoantibody (GAD65Ab) titers defined three risk classes for progression from single to multiple autoantibodies. The 5-year risk was 11% for those subjects >16 years of age with low GAD65Ab titers, 29% for those ≤16 years of age with low GAD65Ab titers, and 45% for those subjects with high GAD65Ab titers regardless of age. Progression to dysglycemia was associated with islet antigen 2 Ab titers, and 2-h glucose and fasting C-peptide levels. The 5-year risk is 28%, 39%, and 51% for respective risk classes defined by the three predictors. Progression to type 1 diabetes was associated with the number of positive autoantibodies, peak C-peptide level, HbA1c level, and age. Four risk classes defined by RPA had a 5-year risk of 9%, 33%, 62%, and 80%, respectively.

conclusionsThe use of RPA offered a new classification approach that could predict the timing of transitions from one preclinical stage to the next in the development of type 1 diabetes. Using these RPA classes, new prevention techniques can be tailored based on the individual prognostic risk characteristics at different preclinical stages.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAge FactorsAutoantibodiesCation Transport ProteinsChildCohort StudiesC-PeptideDiabetes Mellitus, Type 1Disease ProgressionFemaleGenotypeGlucose Metabolism DisordersGlutamate DecarboxylaseHLA-DQ alpha-ChainsHLA-DQ beta-ChainsAutoantibodiesCation Transport ProteinsC-PeptideGlutamate Decarboxylaseglutamate decarboxylase 2HLA-DQA1 antigenHLA-DQ alpha-ChainsHLA-DQB1 antigenHLA-DQ beta-ChainsICA512 autoantibodyInsulinislet cell antibodySLC30A8 protein, humanZinc Transporter 8

Identifiers

PMID27208341
PMCPMC4878220
OpenAlexW2338584016

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.