ArticleCancer2016
Colorectal cancer screening: Estimated future colonoscopy need and current volume and capacity.
Article in Cancer, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 121 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
121 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis: Taurine and Its Association With Colorectal Carcinoma.Cancer medicine · 2024Pooled it
- An Estimate of the US Rate of Overuse of Screening Colonoscopy: a Systematic Review.Journal of general internal medicine · 2022Pooled it
- National Data Analysis and Systematic Review for Human Resources for Cervical Cancer Screening in Japan.Asian Pacific journal of cancer prevention : APJCP · 2021Pooled it
- Effect of an online educational module incorporating real-time feedback on accuracy of polyp sizing in trainees: a randomized controlled trial.Endoscopy · 2024Trial
- Pharmacokinetics of oral mannitol for bowel preparation for colonoscopy.Clinical and translational science · 2022Trial
- An Interactive Video Educational Tool Does Not Improve the Quality of Bowel Preparation for Colonoscopy: A Randomized Controlled Study.Digestive diseases and sciences · 2022Trial
- Oral IBGard™ Before Colonoscopy: A Single-Center Double-Blinded, Randomized, Placebo-Controlled Trial.Digestive diseases and sciences · 2021Trial
- Efficacy of different dose of dexmedetomidine combined with remifentanil in colonoscopy: a randomized controlled trial.BMC anesthesiology · 2020Trial
- Prevention of colonic neoplasia with polyethylene glycol: A short term randomized placebo-controlled double-blinded trial.PloS one · 2018Trial
- Comparative Performance of Image-Enhanced Endoscopy for Adenoma and Sessile Serrated Lesion Detection: A Network Meta-Analysis.Digestive endoscopy : official journal of the Japan Gastroenterological Endoscopy Society · 2026Review
- Population-based screening colonoscopy in Korea: balancing benefits and limitations.Intestinal research · 2026Review
- Who owns your doctor? A decade of trends in physician practice ownership in dermatology and gastroenterology.Health affairs scholar · 2026Article
- In vitro development of the Autonomous Colonoscope Robot System (ACRS) for fully automated colonoscope insertion.Communications medicine · 2026Article
- Throughput Benchmarking and Throughput Variance Analysis to Evaluate the Efficiency of an Outpatient Endoscopy Unit.Journal of medical systems · 2026Article
- The colorectal cancer screening gap in Türkiye: A tripartite survey of barriers among patients and surgeons.Turkish journal of surgery · 2026Article
- Two-Step Ensemble Convolutional Neural Networks for Colonoscopic Biopsy Classification Resembling Pathologists' Process.Journal of Korean medical science · 2026Article
- Article
- Deciding on surveillance colonoscopy: a multi-phase study of a conversation aid for older adults.BMC medical informatics and decision making · 2026Article
- Improving Colorectal Cancer Screening and Risk Assessment through Predictive Modeling on Medical Images and Records.The American journal of pathology · 2026Article
- Article
61 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
- Erratum issuedErratum.2017
Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundIn 2014, a national campaign was launched to increase colorectal cancer (CRC) screening rates in the United States to 80% by 2018; it is unknown whether there is sufficient colonoscopy capacity to reach this goal. This study estimated the number of colonoscopies needed to screen 80% of the eligible population with fecal immunochemical testing (FIT) or colonoscopy and determined whether there was sufficient colonoscopy capacity to meet the need.
methodsThe Microsimulation Screening Analysis-Colon model was used to simulate CRC screening test use in the United States (2014-2040); the implementation of a national screening program in 2014 with FIT or colonoscopy with 80% participation was assumed. The 2012 Survey of Endoscopic Capacity (SECAP) estimated the number of colonoscopies that were performed and the number that could be performed.
resultsIf a national screening program started in 2014, by 2024, approximately 47 million FIT procedures and 5.1 million colonoscopies would be needed annually to screen the eligible population with a program using FIT as the primary screening test; approximately 11 to 13 million colonoscopies would be needed annually to screen the eligible population with a colonoscopy-only screening program. According to the SECAP survey, an estimated 15 million colonoscopies were performed in 2012, and an additional 10.5 million colonoscopies could be performed.
conclusionsThe estimated colonoscopy capacity is sufficient to screen 80% of the eligible US population with FIT, colonoscopy, or a mix of tests. Future analyses should take into account the geographic distribution of colonoscopy capacity. Cancer 2016;122:2479-86. © 2016 American Cancer Society.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.