ArticleDemography2016
The Intrinsic Estimator, Alternative Estimates, and Predictions of Mortality Trends: A Comment on Masters, Hummer, Powers, Beck, Lin, and Finch.
Article in Demography, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
8 citing papers in PubMed.
- Some simulations of age-period-cohort analysis applying Bayesian regularization: Conditions for using random walk model.PloS one · 2025Article
- Describing and explaining age, period, and cohort trends in Americans' vocabulary knowledge.Population research and policy review · 2023Article
- The Age-Period-Cohort-Interaction Model for Describing and Investigating Inter-cohort Deviations and Intra-cohort Life-course Dynamics.Sociological methods & research · 2022Article
- APCI: An R and Stata Package for Visualizing and Analyzing Age-Period-Cohort Data.The R journal · 2022Article
- Age-period-cohort analysis with a constant-relative-variation constraint for an apportionment of period and cohort slopes.PloS one · 2019Article
- An analysis of suicide trends in Scotland 1950-2014: comparison with England & Wales.BMC public health · 2017Article
- Back to School: Racial and Gender Differences in Adults' Participation in Formal Schooling, 1978-2013.Demography · 2017Article
- The hierarchical age-period-cohort model: Why does it find the results that it finds?Quality & quantityArticle
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Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
In this article, we discuss a study by Masters et al. (2014), published in Demography. Masters and associates estimated age, period, and cohort (APC) effects on U.S. mortality rates between 1959 and 2009 using the intrinsic estimator (IE). We first argue that before applying the IE, a grounded theoretical justification is needed for its fundamental constraint on minimum variance of the estimates. We next demonstrate IE's high sensitivity to the type of dummy parameterization used to obtain the estimates. Finally, we discuss challenges in the interpretation of APC models. Our comments are not restricted to the article in question but pertain generally to any research that uses the IE.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.