ArticleJournal of studies on alcohol and drugs2016
Alcohol Experiences Viewed Mutoscopically: Newly Incident Drinking of Twelve- to Twenty-Five-Year-Olds in the United States, 2002-2013.
Article in Journal of studies on alcohol and drugs, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
18 citing papers in PubMed.
- Delineating trajectories of alcohol consumption and alcohol problems from adolescence to young adulthood: An integrated assessment of genetic, familial, and psychosocial factors.Alcohol, clinical & experimental research · 2025Article
- Article
- Estimating the effects of legalizing recreational cannabis on newly incident cannabis use.PloS one · 2022Article
- Cohort and age trends in age 35-45 prevalence of alcohol use disorder symptomology, by severity, sex, race, and education.Drug and alcohol dependence · 2021Article
- Associations between major depressive symptoms and drinking onset: Do sex and age matter?Journal of affective disorders · 2020Article
- Female-male differences in prescription pain reliever dependence levels: Evidence on newly incident adolescent and young adult users in the United States, 2002-2014.Drug and alcohol dependence · 2019Article
- Nation-scale primary prevention to reduce newly incident adolescent drug use: the issue of lag time.PeerJ · 2019Article
- Female-male differences in alcohol dependence levels: Evidence on newly incident adolescent and young-adult drinkers in the United States, 2002-2014.International journal of methods in psychiatric research · 2018Article
- Male-female differences in the onset of heavy drinking episode soon after first full drink in contemporary United States: From early adolescence to young adulthood.Drug and alcohol dependence · 2018Article
- Age of onset or age at assessment-that is the question: Estimating newly incident alcohol drinking and rapid transition to heavy drinking in the United States, 2002-2014.International journal of methods in psychiatric research · 2018Article
- Change in college students' perceived parental permissibility of alcohol use and its relation to college drinking.Addictive behaviors · 2018Article
- Changes in support for bans of illicit drugs, tobacco, and alcohol among adolescents and young adults in Europe, 2008-2014.International journal of public health · 2018Article
- Newly incident cannabis use in the United States, 2002-2011: a regional and state level benchmark.PeerJ · 2017Article
- A new era for drinking? Epidemiological evidence on adolescent male-female differences in drinking incidence in the United States and Europe.Social psychiatry and psychiatric epidemiology · 2017Article
- Age-related changes in the relationship between alcohol use and violence from early adolescence to young adulthood.Addictive behaviors reports · 2016Article
- Rapid transition from drinking to alcohol dependence among adolescent and young-adult newly incident drinkers in the United States, 2002-2013.Drug and alcohol dependence · 2016Article
- Taking the First Full Drink: Epidemiological Evidence on Male-Female Differences in the United States.Alcoholism, clinical and experimental research · 2016Article
- Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
Abstract
objectiveThis study sought to discover recent age-specific and cohort-specific patterns of newly incident drinking of alcoholic beverages among young people in the United States, with identification of age at peak risk, cohort by cohort, and age by age.
methodData are from the U.S. National Surveys on Drug Use and Health 2002-2013, with 12 independent successive replications of nationally representative surveys (n ≈ 420,000 12- to 25-year-olds). Drinking was assessed via confidential computer-assisted self-interviews.
resultsLooking across age strata, we found rising age-specific drinking incidence rates across adolescence to a plateau at age 16-18 years and made a new discovery of a statistically robust and highly reproducible dip in incidence at age 19-20 years, followed by the major peak at age 21 years, with sharply reduced incidence thereafter. Evaluated using an epidemiological mutoscope view, individual cohorts showed a congruent pattern, with starting age held constant. A completely different pattern was seen in age-specific prevalence estimates that showed monotonic linear increases.
conclusionsThe novelty seen here, with multiple replications, is a set of clearly nonlinear, age-specific drinking incidence patterns not documented in prior studies. Evidence of noncongruent prevalence patterns is provided. We hope these simple examples will be useful in teaching the epidemiology of alcohol drinking.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.