Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27171281›Full record

ArticlePloS one2016

Relevance of Interleukin-6 and D-Dimer for Serious Non-AIDS Morbidity and Death among HIV-Positive Adults on Suppressive Antiretroviral Therapy.

Birgit Grund, Jason V Baker, Steven G Deeks, Julian Wolfson, Deborah Wentworth, Alessandro Cozzi-Lepri, Calvin J Cohen, Andrew Phillips, Jens D Lundgren, James D Neaton and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 127 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
127citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

127 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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  17. Inflammation-Related Morbidity and Mortality Among HIV-Positive Adults: How Extensive Is It?Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2018
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67 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Birgit GrundSchool of Statistics, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-4275-7880
Jason V BakerHennepin County Medical Center, Minneapolis, MN, United States of America.
Steven G DeeksUniversity of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, United States of America.
Julian WolfsonDivision of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, United States of America.
Deborah WentworthDivision of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, United States of America.
Alessandro Cozzi-LepriUniversity College London, London, United Kingdom.
Calvin J CohenMedical Affairs Department, Gilead Sciences, Foster City, CA, United States of America.
Andrew PhillipsUniversity College London, London, United Kingdom.
Jens D LundgrenDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Rigshospitalet, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
James D NeatonDivision of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, United States of America.
INSIGHT SMART/ESPRIT/SILCAAT Study Group

Funding

International Network for Strategic Initiatives in Global HIV Trials (INSIGHT)U01AI068641 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI NEATON, JAMES DENNIS · 2006 to 2010
$120.1M
COMMUNITY PROGRAMS FOR CLINICAL RESEARCH ON AIDSU01AI046362 · NIAID · SOCIAL AND SCIENTIFIC SYSTEMS, INC. · PI GORDIN, FRED M · 2000 to 2006
$75.9M
Ujima Mentoring ProgramP30MH062246 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI Sheri Ann Lippman · 2001 to 2026
$57.4M
INTERNATIONAL PHASE III IL-2 STUDYU01AI046957 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA TWIN CITIES · PI NEATON, JAMES DENNIS · 1999 to 2005
$56.4M
TERRY BEIRN COMMUNITY PROGRAMS FOR CLINICAL RESEARCH ONU01AI042170 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA TWIN CITIES · PI NEATON, JAMES DENNIS · 1997 to 2006
$23.2M
Medical Research Council MC_UU_12023/23NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI042170NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI046362NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI046957NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI068641NIMH NIH HHS P30 MH062246
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDespite effective antiretroviral treatment (ART), HIV-positive individuals are at increased risk of serious non-AIDS conditions (cardiovascular, liver and renal disease, and cancers), perhaps due in part to ongoing inflammation and/or coagulation. To estimate the potential risk reduction in serious non-AIDS conditions or death from any cause that might be achieved with treatments that reduce inflammation and/or coagulation, we examined associations of interleukin-6 (IL-6), D-dimer, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) levels with serious non-AIDS conditions or death in 3 large cohorts.

methodsIn HIV-positive adults on suppressive ART, associations of IL-6, D-dimer, and hsCRP levels at study entry with serious non-AIDS conditions or death were studied using Cox regression. Hazard ratios (HR) adjusted for age, gender, study, and regression dilution bias (due to within-person biomarker variability) were used to predict risk reductions in serious non-AIDS conditions or death associated with lower "usual" levels of IL-6 and D-dimer.

resultsOver 4.9 years of mean follow-up, 260 of the 3766 participants experienced serious non-AIDS conditions or death. IL-6, D-dimer and hsCRP were each individually associated with risk of serious non-AIDS conditions or death, HR = 1.45 (95% CI: 1.30 to 1.63), 1.28 (95% CI: 1.14 to 1.44), and 1.17 (95% CI: 1.09 to 1.26) per 2x higher biomarker levels, respectively. In joint models, IL-6 and D-dimer were independently associated with serious non-AIDS conditions or death, with consistent results across the 3 cohorts and across serious non-AIDS event types. The association of IL-6 and D-dimer with serious non-AIDS conditions or death was graded and persisted throughout follow-up. For 25% lower "usual" IL-6 and D-dimer levels, the joint biomarker model estimates a 37% reduction (95% CI: 28 to 46%) in the risk of serious non-AIDS conditions or death if the relationship is causal.

conclusionsBoth IL-6 and D-dimer are independently associated with serious non-AIDS conditions or death among HIV-positive adults with suppressed virus. This suggests that treatments that reduce IL-6 and D-dimer levels might substantially decrease morbidity and mortality in patients on suppressive ART. Clinical trials are needed to test this hypothesis.

Indexed as

Antiretroviral Therapy, Highly ActiveAdultBiomarkersC-Reactive ProteinEndpoint DeterminationFemaleFibrin Fibrinogen Degradation ProductsHIV SeropositivityHumansInterleukin-6Kaplan-Meier EstimateMaleMiddle AgedMorbidityRisk Reduction BehaviorBiomarkersC-Reactive ProteinFibrin Fibrinogen Degradation Productsfibrin fragment DInterleukin-6

Identifiers

PMID27171281
PMCPMC4865234

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.