Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27167851›Full record

ArticlePloS one2016

High Summer Temperatures and Mortality in Estonia.

Daniel Oudin Åström, Christofer Åström, Kaidi Rekker, Ene Indermitte, Hans Orru

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Regional Assessment of Temperature-Related Mortality in Finland.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2018
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Impacts of COVID-19 on Air Quality through Traffic Reduction.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Article
  5. Evaluating Mortality Response Associated with Two Different Nordic Heat Warning Systems in Riga, Latvia.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Daniel Oudin ÅströmDepartment of Family Medicine and Public Health, University of Tartu, Tartu, Estonia.
Christofer ÅströmDepartment of Family Medicine and Public Health, University of Tartu, Tartu, Estonia.
Kaidi RekkerDepartment of Family Medicine and Public Health, University of Tartu, Tartu, Estonia.
Ene IndermitteDepartment of Family Medicine and Public Health, University of Tartu, Tartu, Estonia.
Hans OrruDepartment of Family Medicine and Public Health, University of Tartu, Tartu, Estonia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundOn-going climate change is predicted to result in a growing number of extreme weather events-such as heat waves-throughout Europe. The effect of high temperatures and heat waves are already having an important impact on public health in terms of increased mortality, but studies from an Estonian setting are almost entirely missing. We investigated mortality in relation to high summer temperatures and the time course of mortality in a coastal and inland region of Estonia.

methodsWe collected daily mortality data and daily maximum temperature for a coastal and an inland region of Estonia. We applied a distributed lag non-linear model to investigate heat related mortality and the time course of mortality in Estonia.

resultsWe found an immediate increase in mortality associated with temperatures exceeding the 75th percentile of summer maximum temperatures, corresponding to approximately 23°C. This increase lasted for a couple of days in both regions. The total effect of elevated temperatures was not lessened by significant mortality displacement. DISCUSSION: We observed significantly increased mortality in Estonia, both on a country level as well as for a coastal region and an inland region with a more continental climate. Heat related mortality was higher in the inland region as compared to the coastal region, however, no statistically significant differences were observed. The lower risks in coastal areas could be due to lower maximum temperatures and cooling effects of the sea, but also better socioeconomic condition. Our results suggest that region specific estimates of the impacts of temperature extremes on mortality are needed.

Indexed as

Hot TemperatureMortalityConfidence IntervalsEcosystemEstoniaGeographyHumansMeteorological ConceptsRiskSeasons

Identifiers

PMID27167851
PMCPMC4864204

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.