Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27159131›Full record

ArticleBiometrics2016

A Bayesian credible subgroups approach to identifying patient subgroups with positive treatment effects.

Patrick M Schnell, Qi Tang, Walter W Offen, Bradley P Carlin

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Biometrics, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Testing for a treatment effect in a selected subgroup.Statistical methods in medical research · 2024
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Bayesian cluster analysis.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2023
    Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Estimation and Optimization of Composite Outcomes.Journal of machine learning research : JMLR · 2021
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. A nonparametric Bayesian basket trial design.Biometrical journal. Biometrische Zeitschrift · 2019
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Patrick M SchnellDivision of Biostatistics, University of Minnesota School of Public Health, Minneapolis, Minnesota, U.S.A.
Qi TangAbbVie, North Chicago, Illinois, U.S.A.
Walter W OffenAbbVie, North Chicago, Illinois, U.S.A.
Bradley P CarlinDivision of Biostatistics, University of Minnesota School of Public Health, Minneapolis, Minnesota, U.S.A.

Funding

Statistical Methods and Software for More Efficient, Ethical, and Affordable ClinR01CA157458 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI CARLIN, BRADLEY P · 2012 to 2014
$939k
NCI NIH HHS R01 CA157458
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Many new experimental treatments benefit only a subset of the population. Identifying the baseline covariate profiles of patients who benefit from such a treatment, rather than determining whether or not the treatment has a population-level effect, can substantially lessen the risk in undertaking a clinical trial and expose fewer patients to treatments that do not benefit them. The standard analyses for identifying patient subgroups that benefit from an experimental treatment either do not account for multiplicity, or focus on testing for the presence of treatment-covariate interactions rather than the resulting individualized treatment effects. We propose a Bayesian credible subgroups method to identify two bounding subgroups for the benefiting subgroup: one for which it is likely that all members simultaneously have a treatment effect exceeding a specified threshold, and another for which it is likely that no members do. We examine frequentist properties of the credible subgroups method via simulations and illustrate the approach using data from an Alzheimer's disease treatment trial. We conclude with a discussion of the advantages and limitations of this approach to identifying patients for whom the treatment is beneficial.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalPatient SelectionRemission InductionAlzheimer DiseaseBayes TheoremClinical Trials as TopicComputer SimulationData Interpretation, StatisticalHumansTreatment OutcomeBayesian inferenceClinical trialsHeterogeneous treatment effectLinear modelSimultaneous inferenceSubgroup identification

Identifiers

PMID27159131
PMCPMC5102829

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.