Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27142412›Full record

ArticleEndocrine2016

Prognosis of patients with benign thyroid nodules: a population-based study.

Naykky Singh Ospina, Spyridoula Maraka, Ana Elena Espinosa de Ycaza, Juan P Brito, M Regina Castro, John C Morris, Victor M Montori

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Endocrine, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Cost-Effectiveness of Radiofrequency Ablation for Benign Non-Functioning Thyroid Nodules: A Systematic Review.Clinical otolaryngology : official journal of ENT-UK ; official journal of Netherlands Society for Oto-Rhino-Laryngology & Cervico-Facial Surgery · 2026
    Pooled it
  2. Ablative Technologies for Thyroid Nodules: A Health Technology Assessment.Ontario health technology assessment series · 2026
    Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Trial
  5. Neck Ultrasound in Older Adults With Thyroid Nodules: Considering Risk of Death From Other Causes.Endocrine practice : official journal of the American College of Endocrinology and the American Association of Clinical Endocrinologists · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Observational
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Features of Cytologically Indeterminate Molecularly Benign Nodules Treated With Surgery.The Journal of clinical endocrinology and metabolism · 2020
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Naykky Singh OspinaKnowledge and Evaluation Research Unit in Endocrinology (KER-Endo), Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA.
Spyridoula MarakaKnowledge and Evaluation Research Unit in Endocrinology (KER-Endo), Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA.
Ana Elena Espinosa de YcazaDivision of Endocrinology, Diabetes, Metabolism, and Nutrition, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA.
Juan P BritoKnowledge and Evaluation Research Unit in Endocrinology (KER-Endo), Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA.
M Regina CastroDivision of Endocrinology, Diabetes, Metabolism, and Nutrition, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA.
John C MorrisDivision of Endocrinology, Diabetes, Metabolism, and Nutrition, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA.
Victor M MontoriKnowledge and Evaluation Research Unit in Endocrinology (KER-Endo), Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA. Montori.Victor@mayo.edu.

Funding

Mayo Clinic Center for Translational Science ActivitiesUL1TR000135 · NCATS · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI KHOSLA, SUNDEEP · 2012 to 2015
$41.2M
Rochester Epidemiology ProjectR01AG034676 · NIA · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI ROCCA, WALTER A, ST SAUVER, JENNIFER LYNN · 2010 to 2019
$9.5M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000135NIA NIH HHS R01 AG034676
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Most thyroid nodules are benign. The ideal follow-up of these patients should reflect their prognosis, which has been scarcely investigated. We aimed to evaluate the prognosis of patients with initial benign thyroid cytology. A population-based study, using the Rochester Epidemiology Project, identifying patients with benign thyroid cytology diagnosed between 2003 and 2006 and completely followed to 2014 using linked medical records. We identified 363 thyroid nodules with benign cytology in 327 patients after fine-needle aspiration biopsy. Patients were on average 53 years old (standard deviation 17), and 80 % were women. The median nodule size was 1.6 cm (interquartile range 1.2-2.4); 26 % had at least one suspicious ultrasound feature. During a median follow-up of 8 years, 54 patients (17 %) with 57 benign nodules underwent thyroidectomy, mostly due to compressive symptoms (44 %). Thyroidectomy was more likely in younger patients [hazard ratio (HR) 0.97, 95 % CI 0.96-0.99] and patients with larger nodules (HR 1.3, 95 % CI 1.16-1.48). Two patients were found to have follicular thyroid cancer in the index nodule (0.6 %) and 6 patients had papillary thyroid cancer detected in other nodules (1.8 %). No patient died from thyroid cancer. Patients with benign thyroid nodules are unlikely to suffer morbidity or mortality due to thyroid cancer. Follow-up strategies for these patients should consider this excellent prognosis and avoid causing unnecessary fear in patients and adding unneeded expense and burden to the healthcare system.

Indexed as

AdultAgedFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisRetrospective StudiesThyroidectomyThyroid GlandThyroid NoduleTreatment OutcomeBenign thyroid noduleFine-needle aspiration biopsyThyroid cancerThyroidectomyThyroid nodule

Identifiers

PMID27142412
PMCPMC5155441

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.