Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27125753›Full record

ArticleThe oncologist2016

Early Recurrence After Hepatectomy for Colorectal Liver Metastases: What Optimal Definition and What Predictive Factors?

Katsunori Imai, Marc-Antoine Allard, Carlos Castro Benitez, Eric Vibert, Antonio Sa Cunha, Daniel Cherqui, Denis Castaing, Henri Bismuth, Hideo Baba, René Adam

Registry-linked trialOpen access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The oncologist, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT07391007 (A Multidimensional Early-Recurrence Risk Stratification System and Personalized Treatment for Colorectal Cancer Liver Metastases), which is not on this map. Cited by 73 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
73citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
3.5field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT07391007 not yet recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2026, after this paper: background citation

A Multidimensional Early-Recurrence Risk Stratification System and Personalized Treatment for Colorectal Cancer Liver Metastases: A Prospective Clinical Study

Typeobservational_patient_registrySponsorFudan UniversityRan2026 to 2028Enrolled200ConditionsColorectal Liver MetastasesArmsgene sequencing, observational study
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

73 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 153 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Parenchymal-Sparing Versus Anatomic Liver Resection for Colorectal Liver Metastases: a Systematic Review.Journal of gastrointestinal surgery : official journal of the Society for Surgery of the Alimentary Tract · 2017
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  15. A CT-based radiomics tumor quality and quantity model to predict early recurrence after radical surgery for colorectal liver metastases.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2025
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13 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Katsunori ImaiCentre Hépato-Biliaire, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris, Hôpital Universitaire Paul Brousse, Villejuif, France INSERM, Unité 935, Villejuif, France Department of Gastroenterological Surgery, Graduate School of Life Sciences, Kumamoto University, Kumamoto, Japan.
Marc-Antoine AllardCentre Hépato-Biliaire, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris, Hôpital Universitaire Paul Brousse, Villejuif, France INSERM, Unité 935, Villejuif, France Université Paris-Sud, Villejuif, France.
Carlos Castro BenitezCentre Hépato-Biliaire, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris, Hôpital Universitaire Paul Brousse, Villejuif, France INSERM, Unité 935, Villejuif, France Université Paris-Sud, Villejuif, France.
Eric VibertCentre Hépato-Biliaire, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris, Hôpital Universitaire Paul Brousse, Villejuif, France INSERM Unité 785, Villejuif, France Université Paris-Sud, Villejuif, France.
Antonio Sa CunhaCentre Hépato-Biliaire, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris, Hôpital Universitaire Paul Brousse, Villejuif, France INSERM, Unité 935, Villejuif, France Université Paris-Sud, Villejuif, France.
Daniel CherquiCentre Hépato-Biliaire, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris, Hôpital Universitaire Paul Brousse, Villejuif, France INSERM Unité 785, Villejuif, France Université Paris-Sud, Villejuif, France.
Denis CastaingCentre Hépato-Biliaire, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris, Hôpital Universitaire Paul Brousse, Villejuif, France INSERM Unité 785, Villejuif, France Université Paris-Sud, Villejuif, France.
Henri BismuthCentre Hépato-Biliaire, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris, Hôpital Universitaire Paul Brousse, Villejuif, France.
Hideo BabaDepartment of Gastroenterological Surgery, Graduate School of Life Sciences, Kumamoto University, Kumamoto, Japan.
René AdamCentre Hépato-Biliaire, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris, Hôpital Universitaire Paul Brousse, Villejuif, France INSERM, Unité 935, Villejuif, France Université Paris-Sud, Villejuif, France rene.adam@pbr.aphp.fr.
Assistance Publique – Hôpitaux de Paris · FRInserm · FRUniversité Paris-Sud · FRKumamoto University · JP

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe purpose of this study was to determine the optimal definition and elucidate the predictive factors of early recurrence after surgery for colorectal liver metastases (CRLM).

methodsAmong 987 patients who underwent curative surgery for CRLM from 1990 to 2012, 846 with a minimum follow-up period of 24 months were eligible for this study. The minimum p value approach of survival after initial recurrence was used to determine the optimal cutoff for the definition of early recurrence. The predictive factors of early recurrence and prognostic factors of survival were analyzed.

resultsFor 667 patients (79%) who developed recurrence, the optimal cutoff point of early recurrence was determined to be 8 months after surgery. The impact of early recurrence on survival was demonstrated mainly in patients who received preoperative chemotherapy. Among the 691 patients who received preoperative chemotherapy, recurrence was observed in 562 (81%), and survival in patients with early recurrence was significantly worse than in those with late recurrence (5-year survival 18.5% vs. 53.4%, p < .0001). Multivariate logistic analysis identified age ≤57 years (p = .0022), >1 chemotherapy line (p = .03), disease progression during last-line chemotherapy (p = .024), >3 tumors (p = .0014), and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 >60 U/mL (p = .0003) as independent predictors of early recurrence. Salvage surgery for recurrence significantly improved survival, even in patients with early recurrence.

conclusionThe optimal cutoff point of early recurrence was determined to be 8 months. The preoperative prediction of early recurrence is possible and crucial for designing effective perioperative chemotherapy regimens. IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE: In this study, the optimal cutoff point of early recurrence was determined to be 8 months after surgery based on the minimum p value approach, and its prognostic impact was demonstrated mainly in patients who received preoperative chemotherapy. Five factors, including age, number of preoperative chemotherapy lines, response to last-line chemotherapy, number of tumors, and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 concentrations, were identified as predictors of early recurrence. Salvage surgery for recurrence significantly improved survival, even in patients with early recurrence. For better selection of patients who could truly benefit from surgery and should also receive strong postoperative chemotherapy, the accurate preoperative prediction of early recurrence is crucial.

Indexed as

HepatectomyAdultAgedAged, 80 and overColorectal NeoplasmsFemaleHumansLiver NeoplasmsMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalPrognosisSalvage TherapyColorectal liver metastasisEarly recurrenceHepatectomyMinimum p value approachSalvage surgery

Identifiers

PMID27125753
PMCPMC4943389
OpenAlexW2343976476

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.