Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27121609›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA2016

Will they participate? Predicting patients' response to clinical trial invitations in a pediatric emergency department.

Yizhao Ni, Andrew F Beck, Regina Taylor, Jenna Dyas, Imre Solti, Jacqueline Grupp-Phelan, Judith W Dexheimer

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Artificial intelligence for optimizing recruitment and retention in clinical trials: a scoping review.Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA · 2024
    Article
  3. Applying Artificial Intelligence in Pediatric Clinical Trials: Potential Impacts and Obstacles.The journal of pediatric pharmacology and therapeutics : JPPT : the official journal of PPAG · 2024
    Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Contemporary use of real-world data for clinical trial conduct in the United States: a scoping review.Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA · 2021
    Article
  7. Artificial intelligence in emergency medicine: A scoping review.Journal of the American College of Emergency Physicians open · 2020
    Article
  8. Observational
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Precision medicine informatics.Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA · 2016
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Yizhao NiDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, Cincinnati, OH 45229-3039, USA yizhao.ni@cchmc.org.
Andrew F BeckDivision of General and Community Pediatrics, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, Cincinnati, OH 45229-3039, USA.
Regina TaylorDivision of Emergency Medicine, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, Cincinnati, OH 45229-3039, USA.
Jenna DyasDivision of Emergency Medicine, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, Cincinnati, OH 45229-3039, USA.
Imre SoltiDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, Cincinnati, OH 45229-3039, USA.
Jacqueline Grupp-PhelanDivision of Emergency Medicine, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, Cincinnati, OH 45229-3039, USA.
Judith W DexheimerDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, Cincinnati, OH 45229-3039, USA Division of Emergency Medicine, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, Cincinnati, OH 45229-3039, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objective(1) To develop an automated algorithm to predict a patient's response (ie, if the patient agrees or declines) before he/she is approached for a clinical trial invitation; (2) to assess the algorithm performance and the predictors on real-world patient recruitment data for a diverse set of clinical trials in a pediatric emergency department; and (3) to identify directions for future studies in predicting patients' participation response. MATERIALS AND

methodsWe collected 3345 patients' response to trial invitations on 18 clinical trials at one center that were actively enrolling patients between January 1, 2010 and December 31, 2012. In parallel, we retrospectively extracted demographic, socioeconomic, and clinical predictors from multiple sources to represent the patients' profiles. Leveraging machine learning methodology, the automated algorithms predicted participation response for individual patients and identified influential features associated with their decision-making. The performance was validated on the collection of actual patient response, where precision, recall, F-measure, and area under the ROC curve were assessed.

resultsCompared to the random response predictor that simulated the current practice, the machine learning algorithms achieved significantly better performance (Precision/Recall/F-measure/area under the ROC curve: 70.82%/92.02%/80.04%/72.78% on 10-fold cross validation and 71.52%/92.68%/80.74%/75.74% on the test set). By analyzing the significant features output by the algorithms, the study confirmed several literature findings and identified challenges that could be mitigated to optimize recruitment.

conclusionBy exploiting predictive variables from multiple sources, we demonstrated that machine learning algorithms have great potential in improving the effectiveness of the recruitment process by automatically predicting patients' participation response to trial invitations.

Indexed as

Clinical Trials as TopicEmergency Service, HospitalMachine LearningPatient ParticipationAlgorithmsChildFemaleHospitals, PediatricHumansMalePatient Acceptance of Health Caremachine learningpatient-directed precision recruitmentpredictive modelingsocioeconomic status

Identifiers

PMID27121609
PMCPMC4926740

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.