Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27116045›Full record

ArticleJournal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999)2016

Limiting Cumulative HIV Viremia Copy-Years by Early Treatment Reduces Risk of AIDS and Death.

Ashley D Olson, A Sarah Walker, Amitabh B Suthar, Caroline Sabin, Heiner C Bucher, Inma Jarrin, Santiago Moreno, Santiago Perez-Hoyos, Kholoud Porter, Deborah Ford and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999), 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Cumulative Burden of Depression and All-Cause Mortality in Women Living With Human Immunodeficiency Virus.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2018
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Ashley D Olson*Medical Research Council Clinical Trials Unit, University College London, London, United Kingdom; †South African Centre for Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis, University of Stellenbosch, South Africa; ‡Department of Infection and Population Health, University College London (UCL), London, United Kingdom; §Basel Institute for Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland; ‖Red de Investigación en Sida, Centro Nacional de Epidemiología, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain; ¶CIBER de Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Madrid, Spain; #Servicio de Enfermedades Infecciosas, Hospital Ramón y Cajal, Instituto Ramón y Cajal de Investigación Sanitaria, Madrid, Spain; and **Unitat Suport Metodològic a l'Investigació Biomedica (USMIB), Vall d'Hebron Institut de Recerca (VHIR), Universidad Autónoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
A Sarah Walker
Amitabh B Suthar
Caroline Sabin
Heiner C Bucher
Inma Jarrin
Santiago Moreno
Santiago Perez-Hoyos
Kholoud Porter
Deborah Ford
CASCADE Collaboration in EuroCoord

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_UU_12023/15
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundViremia copy-years (VCY), a time-updated measure of cumulative HIV exposure, predicts AIDS/death; although its utility in deciding when to start combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) remains unclear. We aimed to assess the impact of initiating versus deferring cART on risk of AIDS/death by levels of VCY both independent of and within CD4 cell count strata ≥500 cells per cubic millimeter.

methodsUsing Concerted Action on Seroconversion to AIDS and Death in Europe (CASCADE) data, we created a series of nested "trials" corresponding to consecutive months for individuals ≥16 years at seroconversion after 1995 who were cART-naive and AIDS-free. Pooling across all trials, time to AIDS/death by CD4, and VCY strata was compared in those initiating vs. deferring cART using Cox models adjusted for: country, sex, risk group, seroconversion year, age, time since last HIV-RNA, and current CD4, VCY, HIV-RNA, and mean number of previous CD4/HIV-RNA measurements/year.

resultsOf 9353 individuals, 5312 (57%) initiated cART and 486 (5%) acquired AIDS/died. Pooling CD4 strata, risk of AIDS/death associated with initiating vs. deferring cART reduced as VCY increased. In patients with high CD4 cell counts, ≥500 cells per cubic millimeter, there was a trend for a greater reduction for those initiating vs. deferring with increasing VCY (P = 0.09), with the largest benefit in the VCY ≥100,000 copy-years/mL group [hazard ratio (95% CI) = 0.41 (0.19 to 0.87)].

conclusionsFor individuals with CD4 ≥500 cells per cubic millimeter, limiting the cumulative HIV burden to <100,000 copy-years/mL through cART may reduce the risk of AIDS/death.

Indexed as

Acquired Immunodeficiency SyndromeAdolescentAdultCD4 Lymphocyte CountFemaleHIV InfectionsHumansMaleMiddle AgedViremiaYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID27116045
PMCPMC4981211

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.