Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27112933›Full record

ArticleMedical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making2017

The Role of Physicians' First Impressions in the Diagnosis of Possible Cancers without Alarm Symptoms.

Olga Kostopoulou, Miroslav Sirota, Thomas Round, Shyamalee Samaranayaka, Brendan C Delaney

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
28citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

28 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  5. Review
  6. Article
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  10. Intergroup time bias and aversive racism in the medical context.Journal of personality and social psychology · 2024
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  11. Observational
  12. Influences of early diagnostic suggestions on clinical reasoning.Cognitive research: principles and implications · 2022
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  17. Can decision support combat incompleteness and bias in routine primary care data?Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA · 2021
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Association between use of urgent suspected cancer referral and mortality and stage at diagnosis: a 5-year national cohort study.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2020
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  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Olga KostopoulouDepartment of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College London (OK, BCD).
Miroslav SirotaDepartment of Psychology, University of Essex, UK (MS).
Thomas RoundDepartment of Primary Care and Public Health Sciences, King's College London, UK (TR).
Shyamalee SamaranayakaDepartment of Family Medicine, University of Sri Jayewardenepura, Sri Lanka (SS).
Brendan C DelaneyDepartment of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College London (OK, BCD).

Funding

Cancer Research UK 12222Cancer Research UK C33754/A12222
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundFirst impressions are thought to exert a disproportionate influence on subsequent judgments; however, their role in medical diagnosis has not been systematically studied. We aimed to elicit and measure the association between first impressions and subsequent diagnoses in common presentations with subtle indications of cancer.

methodsNinety UK family physicians conducted interactive simulated consultations online, while on the phone with a researcher. They saw 6 patient cases, 3 of which could be cancers. Each cancer case included 2 consultations, whereby each patient consulted again with nonimproving and some new symptoms. After reading an introduction (patient description and presenting problem), physicians could request more information, which the researcher displayed online. In 2 of the possible cancers, physicians thought aloud. Two raters coded independently the physicians' first utterances (after reading the introduction but before requesting more information) as either acknowledging the possibility of cancer or not. We measured the association of these first impressions with the final diagnoses and management decisions.

resultsThe raters coded 297 verbalizations with high interrater agreement (Kappa = 0.89). When the possibility of cancer was initially verbalized, the odds of subsequently diagnosing it were on average 5 times higher (odds ratio 4.90 [95% CI 2.72 to 8.84], P < 0.001), while the odds of appropriate referral doubled (OR 1.98 [1.10 to 3.57], P = 0.002). The number of cancer-related questions physicians asked mediated the relationship between first impressions and subsequent diagnosis, explaining 29% of the total effect.

conclusionWe measured a strong association between family physicians' first diagnostic impressions and subsequent diagnoses and decisions. We suggest that interventions to influence and support the diagnostic process should target its early stage of hypothesis generation.

Indexed as

Clinical Decision-MakingThinkingAdultFemaleHumansInformation Seeking BehaviorMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasmsPhysicians, FamilyReferral and ConsultationUnited Kingdomcognitive psychologyfamily medicineheuristics and biasesprovider decision making

Identifiers

PMID27112933
PMCPMC5131625

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.