Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27108119›Full record

ArticleOsteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA2016

Direct comparison of FRAX(R) and a simplified fracture risk assessment tool in routine clinical practice: a registry-based cohort study.

W D Leslie, S R Majumdar, L M Lix, R G Josse, H Johansson, A Oden, E V McCloskey, J A Kanis

Abstract readComparative Study
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
1.7field-weighted citation impact, top 18% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 22 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Clinical practice guideline for management of osteoporosis and fracture prevention in Canada: 2023 update.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2023
    Guideline
  3. Pooled it
  4. A Comparison of US and Canadian Osteoporosis Screening and Treatment Strategies in Postmenopausal Women.Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2019
    Trial
  5. Review
  6. CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2023
    Article
  7. A scorecard for osteoporosis in Canada and seven Canadian provinces.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2021
    Review
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

W D LeslieUniversity of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Canada. bleslie@sbgh.mb.ca.
S R MajumdarUniversity of Alberta, Edmonton, Canada.
L M LixUniversity of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Canada.
R G JosseUniversity of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.
H JohanssonCentre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield Medical School, Sheffield, UK.
A OdenCentre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield Medical School, Sheffield, UK.
E V McCloskeyCentre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield Medical School, Sheffield, UK.
J A KanisCentre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield Medical School, Sheffield, UK.
University of Sheffield · GBUniversity of Manitoba · CAUniversity of Alberta · CAUniversity of Toronto · CA

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/K006312/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

unlabelledFRAX(R) incrementally improved prediction of incident major osteoporotic fractures compared with the simplified Canadian Association of Radiologists and Osteoporosis Canada (CAROC) tool.

introductionThere is debate over the value of seemingly more complex fracture prediction tools over simpler fracture prediction tools. FRAX(R) and the simplified CAROC tool are both widely used in Canada for estimating 10-year probability of major osteoporotic fractures. We compared the performance of these tools for predicting fracture outcomes.

methodsUsing a bone densitometry registry for Manitoba, Canada, we identified 34,060 individuals age ≥50 years not receiving anti-osteoporosis therapy. Fracture Risk Assessment (FRAX) and CAROC were used to classify 10-year fracture risk as low (<10 %), moderate (10-20 %) and high (>20 %). Net reclassification improvement (NRI) was used to quantify the performance of FRAX versus CAROC.

resultsDuring mean 9.8 years of follow-up, 3905 individuals sustained fractures. There were 10 (of 35 total) situations where observed fracture risk fell outside of the predicted range, and all 10 discordances favoured FRAX. NRI among incident fracture cases was not significantly changed, but there was a significant improvement in risk categorization for those who remained fracture-free (+1.7 %, P < 0.001) resulting in overall improvement (NRI overall +0.028, P < 0.001). Within nine pre-specified subgroups, there was no case of significant worsening in NRI when using FRAX instead of CAROC. In absolute terms, only 36 individuals would need to be assessed using FRAX instead of CAROC to yield an improvement in prediction (8 among individuals with prior fracture and 4 among those with prolonged glucocorticoid use).

conclusionsFRAX provides improvement in fracture risk prediction compared with the simplified CAROC tool in individuals referred for osteoporosis screening, supporting the use of FRAX as the international reference tool for fracture risk assessment.

Indexed as

Bone DensityRisk AssessmentAgedCohort StudiesDensitometryFemaleHumansMaleManitobaMiddle AgedOsteoporotic FracturesRegistriesRisk FactorsBone mineral densityDual energy X-ray absorptiometryFractureFracture riskOsteoporosis

Identifiers

PMID27108119
OpenAlexW2339718214

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.