Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27108006›Full record

ReviewInternational journal of colorectal disease2016

Risk calculators-methods, development, implementation, and validation.

Ulrich Mansmann, Anna Rieger, Brigitte Strahwald, Alexander Crispin

Abstract readReview
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Review in International journal of colorectal disease, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  6. Evaluation of the ACS-NSQIP Surgical Risk Calculator in Patients with Hepatic Metastases from Colorectal Cancer Undergoing Liver Resection.Journal of gastrointestinal surgery : official journal of the Society for Surgery of the Alimentary Tract · 2023
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  9. Review
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  17. Pre-Operative, Intra-Operative, and Post-Operative Factors Associated with Post-Discharge Venous Thromboembolism Following Colorectal Cancer Resection.Journal of gastrointestinal surgery : official journal of the Society for Surgery of the Alimentary Tract · 2020
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Predicting morbidity of liver resection.Langenbeck's archives of surgery · 2018
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  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Ulrich MansmannDepartment of Medical Information Sciences, Biometry, and Epidemiology (IBE), Ludwig Maximilians Universität (LMU), München, Marchioninistraße 15, 81377, München, Germany. mansmann@ibe.med.uni-muenchen.de.
Anna RiegerDepartment of Medical Information Sciences, Biometry, and Epidemiology (IBE), Ludwig Maximilians Universität (LMU), München, Marchioninistraße 15, 81377, München, Germany.
Brigitte StrahwaldDepartment of Medical Information Sciences, Biometry, and Epidemiology (IBE), Ludwig Maximilians Universität (LMU), München, Marchioninistraße 15, 81377, München, Germany.
Alexander CrispinDepartment of Medical Information Sciences, Biometry, and Epidemiology (IBE), Ludwig Maximilians Universität (LMU), München, Marchioninistraße 15, 81377, München, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionA surgical risk calculator (SRC) estimates the probabilities of unfavorable outcomes such as complications or death after a specific surgery. The risk estimates are based on information regarding the patient's medical history and his current status. They are calculated using risk models derived from the analysis of data from a large number of previous patients in a similar clinical situation.

methodsThis paper discusses several aspects of the SRC development and its implementation into clinical practice: the development of the statistical risk models, their validation and software implementation, the use of the SRC output for shared decision making in clinical settings, and the evaluation of the SRC's impact on individual patient outcomes as well as on the institution's quality of care of the clinical institution.

resultsProbably the most elaborate SRC is the ACS NSQIP SRC. A comparable project was started by the German Society for Visceral and General Surgery (DGAV) in the framework of its Study, Documentation, and Quality Center (StuDoQ). It is relevant to consider that the transportability of a SRC from a US American to a German setting is not straightforward.

conclusionsRisk calculators are important instruments for shared decision making between patients and doctor. Their implementation into clinical practice has to solve technical issues, and it is related to appropriate training of clinicians. There are specific study designs to evaluate the clinical impact of a SCR.

Indexed as

Decision MakingHumansReproducibility of ResultsRisk AssessmentASC NSQIPShared decision makingSurgical risk calculator

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.