ArticlePloS one2016
The Role of Climatic and Density Dependent Factors in Shaping Mosquito Population Dynamics: The Case of Culex pipiens in Northwestern Italy.
Article in PloS one, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 42 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
42 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Effect of Climate Change on West Nile Virus Transmission in Italy: A Systematic Review.Public health reviews · 2025Pooled it
- An analytical stochastic stage-structured model for pest population dynamics: a case study on Cydia pomonella in Italy.Journal of mathematical biology · 2026Article
- Article
- The ecology of biting: buzzing through the main ecological, environmental and biological drivers of mosquito-borne diseases.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2026Review
- A process-based model simulating the life-cycle of Culex pipiens s.s./Cx. torrentium (Diptera: Culicidae) in Germany.Parasites & vectors · 2026Article
- Meteorological and land-use determinants of Culex pipiens s.l. spatio-temporal dynamics in Northern Italy.Journal of medical entomology · 2026Article
- A data-parsimonious model for long-term risk assessments of West Nile virus spillover.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- The evolution of public health statistical modeling approaches and how to advance their incorporation into modern arboviral surveillance.Journal of medical entomology · 2026Article
- Monitoring vector-borne diseases: A study in Italy and Greece.Current research in parasitology & vector-borne diseases · 2026Article
- Are we doing our best to contain the spread of West Nile virus? Evaluating intervention efficacy through mathematical modelling.Parasites & vectors · 2025Article
- Quantifying vector diversion effects in zoonotic systems: A modelling framework for arbovirus transmission between reservoir and dead-end hosts.PLoS computational biology · 2025Article
- Meteorological and environmental drivers of West Nile virus prevalence in Culex pipiens mosquitoes in Emilia-Romagna, Italy in 2013 to 2022.PLoS pathogens · 2025Article
- Lessons learned exploiting a multi-year large-scale data set derived from operational quality assessment of mosquito larval treatments in rain catch basins.Pest management science · 2025Article
- Laboratory evidence on the vector competence of European field-captured Culex theileri for circulating West Nile virus lineages 1 and 2.Parasites & vectors · 2025Article
- Uncovering temperature sensitivity of West Nile virus transmission: Novel computational approaches to mosquito-pathogen trait responses.PLoS computational biology · 2025Article
- Unveiling spatial patterns of West Nile virus emergence in northern Greece, 2010-2023.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2024Article
- Mitigating the Public Health Issues Caused by the Filarial Vector, Culex quinquefasciatus (Diptera: Culicidae) Through Phytocontrol and Larval Source Marker Management.Applied biochemistry and biotechnology · 2024Article
- Population-specific thermal responses contribute to regional variability in arbovirus transmission with changing climates.iScience · 2024Article
- The effect of temperature on the boundary conditions of West Nile virus circulation in Europe.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2024Article
- SpottingFrontiers in veterinary science · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Culex pipiens mosquito is a species widely spread across Europe and represents a competent vector for many arboviruses such as West Nile virus (WNV), which has been recently circulating in many European countries, causing hundreds of human cases. In order to identify the main determinants of the high heterogeneity in Cx. pipiens abundance observed in Piedmont region (Northwestern Italy) among different seasons, we developed a density-dependent stochastic model that takes explicitly into account the role played by temperature, which affects both developmental and mortality rates of different life stages. The model was calibrated with a Markov chain Monte Carlo approach exploring the likelihood of recorded capture data gathered in the study area from 2000 to 2011; in this way, we disentangled the role played by different seasonal eco-climatic factors in shaping the vector abundance. Illustrative simulations have been performed to forecast likely changes if temperature or density-dependent inputs would change. Our analysis suggests that inter-seasonal differences in the mosquito dynamics are largely driven by different temporal patterns of temperature and seasonal-specific larval carrying capacities. Specifically, high temperatures during early spring hasten the onset of the breeding season and increase population abundance in that period, while, high temperatures during the summer can decrease population size by increasing adult mortality. Higher densities of adult mosquitoes are associated with higher larval carrying capacities, which are positively correlated with spring precipitations. Finally, an increase in larval carrying capacity is expected to proportionally increase adult mosquito abundance.
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