Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27104948›Full record

ArticlePloS one2016

Link Prediction in Criminal Networks: A Tool for Criminal Intelligence Analysis.

Giulia Berlusconi, Francesco Calderoni, Nicola Parolini, Marco Verani, Carlo Piccardi

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. A Survey on Hyperlink Prediction.IEEE transactions on neural networks and learning systems · 2024
    Article
  6. Triadic influence as a proxy for compatibility in social relationships.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Giulia BerlusconiUniversità Cattolica del Sacro Cuore and Transcrime, Milano, Italy.
Francesco CalderoniUniversità Cattolica del Sacro Cuore and Transcrime, Milano, Italy.
Nicola ParoliniMOX, Department of Mathematics, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy.
Marco VeraniMOX, Department of Mathematics, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy.
Carlo PiccardiDepartment of Electronics, Information and Bioengineering, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The problem of link prediction has recently received increasing attention from scholars in network science. In social network analysis, one of its aims is to recover missing links, namely connections among actors which are likely to exist but have not been reported because data are incomplete or subject to various types of uncertainty. In the field of criminal investigations, problems of incomplete information are encountered almost by definition, given the obvious anti-detection strategies set up by criminals and the limited investigative resources. In this paper, we work on a specific dataset obtained from a real investigation, and we propose a strategy to identify missing links in a criminal network on the basis of the topological analysis of the links classified as marginal, i.e. removed during the investigation procedure. The main assumption is that missing links should have opposite features with respect to marginal ones. Measures of node similarity turn out to provide the best characterization in this sense. The inspection of the judicial source documents confirms that the predicted links, in most instances, do relate actors with large likelihood of co-participation in illicit activities.

Indexed as

Social NetworkingAlgorithmsCrimeCriminalsHumansInformation Storage and RetrievalModels, StatisticalReproducibility of Results

Identifiers

PMID27104948
PMCPMC4841537

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.