ArticleBMC infectious diseases2016
Association between the incidence of varicella and meteorological conditions in Jinan, Eastern China, 2012-2014.
Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.
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16 citing papers in PubMed.
- Epidemiological characteristics of varicella in Xuzhou from 2015 to 2024: surveillance study.BMC infectious diseases · 2026Article
- A time series study of the association between extreme temperature and ozone on varicella incidence.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Association Between Climatic Factors and Varicella Incidence in Wuxi, East China, 2010-2019: Surveillance Study.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2024Article
- Impact of climate on varicella distribution in Bulgaria (2009-2018).Central European journal of public health · 2024Article
- Primary Varicella Infection in a Young Adult from the Democratic Republic of the Congo: A Case Report and Mini-Review.Infectious disease reports · 2024Article
- Associations Between Air Temperature and Daily Varicella Cases - Jinan City, Shandong Province, China, 2019-2021.China CDC weekly · 2024Article
- Seroprevalence rates in children aged 3-6 years after implementing a two-dose varicella vaccination: A observational study.Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics · 2023Observational
- Epidemiological analysis of varicella in Dalian from 2009 to 2019 and application of three kinds of model in prediction prevalence of varicella.BMC public health · 2022Article
- Influence of air pollutants on varicella among adults.Scientific reports · 2021Article
- One single-center cross-sectional investigation on varicella antibody level of all age groups in Chinese people.Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics · 2021Article
- The effects of air pollution and meteorological factors on measles cases in Lanzhou, China.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2020Article
- The role of meteorological factors on mumps incidence among children in Guangzhou, Southern China.PloS one · 2020Article
- Seroprevalence and molecular characteristics of varicella-zoster virus infection in Chinese children.BMC infectious diseases · 2019Article
- Health impact of climate change in cities of middle-income countries: the case of China.British medical bulletin · 2019Review
- Role of temperature in reported chickenpox cases in northern European countries: Denmark and Finland.BMC research notes · 2018Article
- Role of meteorological conditions in reported chickenpox cases in Wuhan and Hong Kong, China.BMC infectious diseases · 2017Article
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5 authors.
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No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundVaricella remains an important public health issue in China. In this study we explored the effect of weather conditions on the incidence of varicella in the temperate city of Jinan, Eastern China during 2012-2014 to inform public health prevention and control measures.
methodsData on reported cases of varicella were obtained from National Notifiable Disease Report System. Meteorological data for the same time period were obtained from the Jinan Meteorological Bureau. A negative binomial regression model was used to assess the relationships between meteorological variables and the incidence of varicella. Given collinearity between average temperature and atmospheric pressure, separate models were constructed: one including average temperature without atmospheric pressure, the other including atmospheric pressure but without average temperature. Both models included relative humidity, wind velocity, rainfall, sunshine, and year as independent variables.
resultsAnnual incidence rates of varicella were 44.47, 53.69, and 46.81 per 100,000 for 2012, 2013, and 2014, respectively. Each increase of 100 Pa (hPa) in atmospheric pressure was estimated to be associated with an increase in weekly incidence of 3.35 % (95 % CI = 2.94-3.67 %), while a 1 °C rise in temperature was associated with a decrease of 3.44 % (95 % CI = -3.73-3.15 %) in the weekly incidence of varicella. Similarly, a 1 % rise in relative humidity corresponded to a decrease of 0.50 % or 1.00 %, a 1 h rise in sunshine corresponded to an increase of 1.10 % or 0.50 %, and a 1 mm rise in rainfall corresponded to an increase of 0.20 % or 0.30 %, in the weekly incidence of varicella cases, depending on the variable considered in the model.
conclusionOur findings show that weather factors have a significant influence on the incidence of varicella. Meteorological conditions should be considered as important predictors of varicella incidence in Jinan, Eastern China.
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