Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27090089›Full record

ArticleeLife2016

Mapping global environmental suitability for Zika virus.

Jane P Messina, Moritz Ug Kraemer, Oliver J Brady, David M Pigott, Freya M Shearer, Daniel J Weiss, Nick Golding, Corrine W Ruktanonchai, Peter W Gething, Emily Cohn and 8 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in eLife, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 185 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
185citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

185 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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125 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors.

Jane P MessinaDepartment of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-7829-1272
Moritz Ug KraemerDepartment of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-8838-7147
Oliver J BradyWellcome Trust Centre for Human Genetics, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
David M PigottWellcome Trust Centre for Human Genetics, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Freya M ShearerWellcome Trust Centre for Human Genetics, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Daniel J WeissDepartment of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Nick GoldingDepartment of BioSciences, University of Melbourne, Parkville, United Kingdom.
Corrine W RuktanonchaiWorldPop project, Department of Geography and Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom.
Peter W GethingDepartment of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Emily CohnBoston Children's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, United Kingdom.
John S BrownsteinBoston Children's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, United Kingdom.
Kamran KhanDepartment of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.
Andrew J TatemWorldPop project, Department of Geography and Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom.
Thomas JaenischSection Clinical Tropical Medicine, Department for Infectious Diseases, Heidelberg University Hospital, Heidelberg, Germany.
Christopher Jl MurrayInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, United States.
Fatima MarinhoSecretariat of Health Surveillance, Ministry of Health Brazil, Brasilia, Brazil.
Thomas W ScottDepartment of Entomology and Nematology, University of California Davis, Davis, United States.
Simon I HayWellcome Trust Centre for Human Genetics, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-0611-7272

Funding

Surveillance Core (B)P01AI098670 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA AT DAVIS · PI SCOTT, THOMAS WALLACE · 2014 to 2018
$7.9M
A Platform for Modeling the Global Impact of Climate Change on Infectious DiseaseR01LM010812 · NLM · BOSTON CHILDREN'S HOSPITAL · PI BROWNSTEIN, JOHN S. · 2010 to 2015
$2.5M
NIAID NIH HHS P01 AI098670NLM NIH HHS R01 LM010812Wellcome Trust 095066
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Zika virus was discovered in Uganda in 1947 and is transmitted by Aedes mosquitoes, which also act as vectors for dengue and chikungunya viruses throughout much of the tropical world. In 2007, an outbreak in the Federated States of Micronesia sparked public health concern. In 2013, the virus began to spread across other parts of Oceania and in 2015, a large outbreak in Latin America began in Brazil. Possible associations with microcephaly and Guillain-Barré syndrome observed in this outbreak have raised concerns about continued global spread of Zika virus, prompting its declaration as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by the World Health Organization. We conducted species distribution modelling to map environmental suitability for Zika. We show a large portion of tropical and sub-tropical regions globally have suitable environmental conditions with over 2.17 billion people inhabiting these areas.

Indexed as

EnvironmentAnimalsGlobal HealthHumansMosquito VectorsTropical ClimateZika VirusZika Virus Infectiondisease mappingepidemiologyglobal healthhumaninfectious diseasemicrobiologyvector-borne diseasevirusZika virus

Identifiers

PMID27090089
PMCPMC4889326

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.