Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27085527›Full record

ArticleJournal of cancer research and clinical oncology2016

Improved survival boosts the prevalence of chronic myeloid leukemia: predictions from a population-based study.

Michael Lauseker, Roman Gerlach, Martin Tauscher, Joerg Hasford

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of cancer research and clinical oncology, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Michael LausekerInstitute for Medical Information Sciences, Biometry, and Epidemiology, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität, Marchioninistr. 15, 81377, Munich, Germany. lauseker@ibe.med.uni-muenchen.de.
Roman GerlachKassenärztliche Vereinigung Bayerns, Munich, Germany.
Martin TauscherKassenärztliche Vereinigung Bayerns, Munich, Germany.
Joerg HasfordInstitute for Medical Information Sciences, Biometry, and Epidemiology, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität, Marchioninistr. 15, 81377, Munich, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeDue to prolonged survival, there will be many more chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) patients alive in the future. The aims of this work were to estimate the current prevalence of CML by using routine data and to project future patient numbers in Germany.

methodsData were available for about 10.5 million people in the statutory health insurance system in Bavaria for the years 2008-2013. Survival rates were adapted from two recent publications.

resultsThe mean estimated age-standardized (Old European Standard Population) incidence rates per 100,000 inhabitants were 1.300 and 1.768 for women and men. Based on the population data, we estimated a total number of about 9000 CML patients in Germany for 2012. We expect the number of CML patients to increase further until at least 2040-2050 with a maximum of more than 20,000 CML patients as the most probable scenario.

conclusionsUsing a restrictive definition for case patients, we do not think that there is much overestimation. As a consequence of this considerable increase of the prevalence of CML the burden for the health care system will increase with respect to costs and medical care needed. The procedure presented here allows to estimate the expected number of CML patients in other countries, too.

Indexed as

Population SurveillanceAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overChildChild, PreschoolFemaleGermanyHumansInfantInfant, NewbornLeukemia, Myelogenous, Chronic, BCR-ABL PositiveMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceChronic myeloid leukemiaIncidencePopulation-basedPrevalenceProjection

Identifiers

PMID27085527
PMCPMC11819096

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.