Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27084547›Full record

ArticleAnnals of epidemiology2016

Interdependent effects of cohesion and concurrency for epidemic potential.

James Moody, Richard A Benton

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of epidemiology, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Epidemic potential by sexual activity distributions.Network science (Cambridge University Press) · 2017
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

James MoodyDepartment of Sociology, Duke University, Durham, NC; King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah, Makkah, Saudi Arabia. Electronic address: jmoody77@soc.duke.edu.
Richard A BentonSchool of Labor & Employment Relations, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Champaign, IL.

Funding

Science CoreP2CHD065563 · NICHD · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI James Moody · 2015 to 2026
$5.7M
Models and Tools for Dynamic Health-Relevant Diffusion over Complex NetworksR01HD075712 · NICHD · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI MOODY, JAMES, MUCHA, PETER JOHN · 2013 to 2018
$1.8M
Focused Training in Social Networks and HealthR25HD079352 · NICHD · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI MOODY, JAMES · 2015 to 2024
$1.6M
Simulation Models for Diffusion over Multirelational Dynamic NetworksR21HD068317 · NICHD · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI MOODY, JAMES · 2011 to 2012
$422k
NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD065563NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD075712NICHD NIH HHS R21 HD068317NICHD NIH HHS R25 HD079352
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeNetwork diffusion depends on both the pattern and timing of relations, but the relative effects of timing and structure remain unclear. Here, we first show that concurrency (relations that overlap in time) increases epidemic potential by opening new routes in the network. Because this is substantively similar to adding contact paths, we next compare the effects of concurrency by observed levels of path redundancy (structural cohesion) to determine how the features interact.

methodsWe establish that concurrency increases exposure analytically and then use simulation methods to manipulate concurrency over observed networks that vary naturally on structural cohesion. This design allows us to compare networks across a wide concurrency range holding constant features that might otherwise conflate concurrency and cohesion. We summarize the simulation results with general linear models.

resultsOur results indicate interdependent effects of concurrency and structural cohesion: although both increase epidemic potential, concurrency matters most when the graph structure is sparse, because the exposure created by concurrency is redundant to observed paths within structurally cohesive networks.

conclusionsConcurrency works by opening new paths in temporally ordered networks. Because this is substantively similar to having additional observed paths, concurrency in sparse networks has the same effect as adding relations and will have the greatest effect on epidemic potential in sparse networks.

Indexed as

EpidemicsEpidemiologic MethodsModels, TheoreticalSocial NetworkingContact TracingHumansSexual BehaviorSexually Transmitted DiseasesSexual PartnersConcurrencyDisease spreadEpidemic potentialNetworksSTD

Identifiers

PMID27084547
PMCPMC4851919

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.