Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27077113›Full record

ArticleEBioMedicine2016

Blood Epigenetic Age may Predict Cancer Incidence and Mortality.

Yinan Zheng, Brian T Joyce, Elena Colicino, Lei Liu, Wei Zhang, Qi Dai, Martha J Shrubsole, Warren A Kibbe, Tao Gao, Zhou Zhang and 5 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in EBioMedicine, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 128 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
128citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
11.0field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

128 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 226 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  11. Exploring the association between epigenetic age and intensive care unit delirium: a pilot feasibility study.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2026
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Association of Epigenetic Aging Biomarkers With Risk of MASLD-Related HCC.Liver international : official journal of the International Association for the Study of the Liver · 2026
    Article
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68 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Yinan ZhengDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL 60611, USA; Institute for Public Health and Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL 60611, USA.
Brian T JoyceDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL 60611, USA; Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Illinois-Chicago, Chicago, IL 60613, USA.
Elena ColicinoDepartment of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Lei LiuDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL 60611, USA; Robert H. Lurie Comprehensive Cancer Center, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL 60611, USA.
Wei ZhangDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL 60611, USA; Robert H. Lurie Comprehensive Cancer Center, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL 60611, USA.
Qi DaiDivision of Epidemiology, Department of Medicine, Vanderbilt Epidemiology Center, Vanderbilt-Ingram Cancer Center, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, TN 37203, USA.
Martha J ShrubsoleDivision of Epidemiology, Department of Medicine, Vanderbilt Epidemiology Center, Vanderbilt-Ingram Cancer Center, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, TN 37203, USA.
Warren A KibbeCenter for Biomedical Informatics and Information Technology, National Cancer Institute, 9609 Medical Center Drive, Rockville, MD 20850, USA; Biomedical Informatics Center (NUBIC), Northwestern University Clinical and Translational Sciences Institute (NUCATS), Chicago, IL 60611, USA.
Tao GaoDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL 60611, USA.
Zhou ZhangDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL 60611, USA; Driskill Graduate Program in Life Sciences, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL 60611, USA.
Nadereh JafariGenomics Core Facility, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL 60611, USA.
Pantel VokonasVA Boston Healthcare System and Boston University Schools of Public Health and Medicine, Boston, MA 02215, USA.
Joel SchwartzDepartment of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02115, USA; Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Andrea A BaccarelliDepartment of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Lifang HouDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL 60611, USA; Robert H. Lurie Comprehensive Cancer Center, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL 60611, USA.
Northwestern University · USHarvard University · USVanderbilt University · USBoston University · US

Funding

Tumor Environment and Metastasis (TEAM) Research ProgramP30CA060553 · NCI · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY AT CHICAGO · PI Daniela E Matei · 1993 to 2026
$153.9M
Translational Research Support CoreP30ES000002 · NIEHS · HARVARD UNIVERSITY (SCH OF PUBLIC HLTH) · PI SUSAN A KORRICK · 1985 to 2026
$44.6M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA060553NIEHS NIH HHS P30 ES000002
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Biological measures of aging are important for understanding the health of an aging population, with epigenetics particularly promising. Previous studies found that tumor tissue is epigenetically older than its donors are chronologically. We examined whether blood Δage (the discrepancy between epigenetic and chronological ages) can predict cancer incidence or mortality, thus assessing its potential as a cancer biomarker. In a prospective cohort, Δage and its rate of change over time were calculated in 834 blood leukocyte samples collected from 442 participants free of cancer at blood draw. About 3-5 years before cancer onset or death, Δage was associated with cancer risks in a dose-responsive manner (P = 0.02) and a one-year increase in Δage was associated with cancer incidence (HR: 1.06, 95% CI: 1.02-1.10) and mortality (HR: 1.17, 95% CI: 1.07-1.28). Participants with smaller Δage and decelerated epigenetic aging over time had the lowest risks of cancer incidence (P = 0.003) and mortality (P = 0.02). Δage was associated with cancer incidence in a 'J-shaped' manner for subjects examined pre-2003, and with cancer mortality in a time-varying manner. We conclude that blood epigenetic age may mirror epigenetic abnormalities related to cancer development, potentially serving as a minimally invasive biomarker for cancer early detection.

Indexed as

EpigenomicsAgedAgingDNA MethylationFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasmsCancer riskDNA methylationEpigenetic age

Identifiers

PMID27077113
PMCPMC4816845
OpenAlexW2255969727

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.