ArticleEuropean journal of clinical nutrition2016
The effects of the Danish saturated fat tax on food and nutrient intake and modelled health outcomes: an econometric and comparative risk assessment evaluation.
Article in European journal of clinical nutrition, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 51 papers, 8 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
51 citing papers in PubMed, 8 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Use of Preventable Risk Integrated Model on behavioral risk factors: a scoping review and bibliometric analysis.Frontiers in nutrition · 2025Pooled it
- Evaluation of Economic and Health Outcomes Associated With Food Taxes and Subsidies: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.JAMA network open · 2022Pooled it
- Taxation of the fat content of foods for reducing their consumption and preventing obesity or other adverse health outcomes.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2020Pooled it
- Social marketing including financial incentive programs at worksite cafeterias for preventing obesity: a systematic review.Systematic reviews · 2019Pooled it
- The use of commercial food purchase data for public health nutrition research: A systematic review.PloS one · 2019Pooled it
- Effectiveness of Policies and Programs to Combat Adult Obesity: a Systematic Review.Journal of general internal medicine · 2018Pooled it
- Pricing Strategies to Encourage Availability, Purchase, and Consumption of Healthy Foods and Beverages: A Systematic Review.Preventing chronic disease · 2017Pooled it
- Policy lessons from health taxes: a systematic review of empirical studies.BMC public health · 2017Pooled it
- Potential impact of increasing physical activity on NCD mortality in the EU: pathways to SDG 3.4.1 by 2030.BMJ global health · 2026Article
- Supply- and demand-side drivers of the change in the sugar density of food purchased between 2015 and 2018 in Great Britain.The British journal of nutrition · 2025Article
- Are food taxes for healthy eating acceptable? A survey of public attitudes in the UK.BMJ public health · 2025Article
- Effectiveness of implemented global dietary interventions: a scoping review of fiscal policies.BMC public health · 2024Article
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- Association Between a State-Level Fat Tax and Fast Food Purchases.JAMA network open · 2023Article
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- Estimating the dietary and health impact of implementing front-of-pack nutrition labeling in Canada: A macrosimulation modeling study.Frontiers in nutrition · 2023Article
- Do tax and subsidy on unhealthy food induce consumer consumption for healthy food? Evidence from experiment in Surabaya, Indonesia.Journal of public health research · 2023Article
- Impact of trends and gender disparity in obesity on future type 2 diabetes in Turkey: a mathematical modelling analysis.BMJ open · 2022Article
- Averting wildlife-borne infectious disease epidemics requires a focus on socio-ecological drivers and a redesign of the global food system.EClinicalMedicine · 2022Review
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
Abstract
BACKGROUND/
objectiveThe World Health Organisation recommends governments to consider the use of fiscal policies to promote healthy eating. However, there is very limited evidence of the effect of food taxation in a real-life setting, as most evidence is based on simulation studies. The objective of this study is to evaluate the effect of the Danish tax on saturated fat in terms of changes in nutritional quality of the diet, that is, changes in saturated fat consumption, as well as other non-targeted dietary measures, and to model the associated changes in mortality for different age groups and genders. SUBJECTS/
methodsOn the basis of household scanner data, we estimate the impact of the tax on consumption of saturated fat, unsaturated fat, salt, fruit, vegetables and fibre. The resultant changes in dietary quality are then used as inputs into a comparative risk assessment model (PRIME (Preventable Risk Integrated ModEl)) to estimate the effect of these changes on non-communicable diseases (NCDs) and mortality.
resultsThe tax resulted in a 4.0% reduction in saturated fat intake. Vegetable consumption increased, and salt consumption increased for most individuals, except younger females. We find a modelled reduction in mortality with 123 lives saved annually, 76 of them below 75 years equal to 0.4% of all deaths from NCDs.
conclusionsModelling the effect of the changes in diet on health outcomes suggests that the saturated fat tax made a positive, but minor, contribution to public health in Denmark.
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27071513What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.