Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27071109›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2016

Reproductive trade-offs in extant hunter-gatherers suggest adaptive mechanism for the Neolithic expansion.

Abigail E Page, Sylvain Viguier, Mark Dyble, Daniel Smith, Nikhil Chaudhary, Gul Deniz Salali, James Thompson, Lucio Vinicius, Ruth Mace, Andrea Bamberg Migliano

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 47 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
47citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

47 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. The persistence and loss of hard selective sweeps amid admixture in ancient Eurasians.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  2. Fifteen thousand years of bioarchaeological data reveal life history trade-offs among Europe's first farmers.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Demography of grandmothering: a case study in Agta foragers.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2025
    Article
  7. Physical Activity and Pregnancy Norms Among Daasanach Semi-Nomadic Pastoralist Women in Northern Kenya.American journal of human biology : the official journal of the Human Biology Council · 2025
    Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Review
  12. Women's subsistence strategies predict fertility across cultures, but context matters.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Human cooperation and evolutionary transitions in individuality.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2023
    Article
  18. Review
  19. Sedentarization and maternal childcare networks: role of risk, gender and demography.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2023
    Article
  20. Wealth, health and inequality in Agta foragers.Evolution, medicine, and public health · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Abigail E PageDepartment of Anthropology, University College London, London WC1H 0BW, United Kingdom abigail.page.10@ucl.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0973-1569
Sylvain ViguierDepartment of Anthropology, University College London, London WC1H 0BW, United Kingdom.
Mark DybleDepartment of Anthropology, University College London, London WC1H 0BW, United Kingdom.
Daniel SmithDepartment of Anthropology, University College London, London WC1H 0BW, United Kingdom.
Nikhil ChaudharyDepartment of Anthropology, University College London, London WC1H 0BW, United Kingdom.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7528-8529
Gul Deniz SalaliDepartment of Anthropology, University College London, London WC1H 0BW, United Kingdom.
James ThompsonDepartment of Anthropology, University College London, London WC1H 0BW, United Kingdom.
Lucio ViniciusDepartment of Anthropology, University College London, London WC1H 0BW, United Kingdom.
Ruth MaceDepartment of Anthropology, University College London, London WC1H 0BW, United Kingdom.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6137-7739
Andrea Bamberg MiglianoDepartment of Anthropology, University College London, London WC1H 0BW, United Kingdom.

Funding

European Research Council 249347
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Neolithic demographic transition remains a paradox, because it is associated with both higher rates of population growth and increased morbidity and mortality rates. Here we reconcile the conflicting evidence by proposing that the spread of agriculture involved a life history quality-quantity trade-off whereby mothers traded offspring survival for increased fertility, achieving greater reproductive success despite deteriorating health. We test this hypothesis by investigating fertility, mortality, health, and overall reproductive success in Agta hunter-gatherers whose camps exhibit variable levels of sedentarization, mobility, and involvement in agricultural activities. We conducted blood composition tests in 345 Agta and found that viral and helminthic infections as well as child mortality rates were significantly increased with sedentarization. Nonetheless, both age-controlled fertility and overall reproductive success were positively affected by sedentarization and participation in cultivation. Thus, we provide the first empirical evidence, to our knowledge, of an adaptive mechanism in foragers that reconciles the decline in health and child survival with the observed demographic expansion during the Neolithic.

Indexed as

Models, BiologicalPopulation GrowthAdaptation, PhysiologicalArchaeologyComputer SimulationDiet, PaleolithicHumansModels, StatisticalPhilippinesReproductionepidemiological transitionhunter-gatherersNeolithic demographic transitionNeolithic revolutionquality–quantity trade-off

Identifiers

PMID27071109
PMCPMC4855554

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.