Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27068865›Full record

ArticleEmergency medicine journal : EMJ2016

Diagnostic accuracy of PAT-POPS and ManChEWS for admissions of children from the emergency department.

Sarah Cotterill, Andrew G Rowland, Jacqueline Kelly, Helen Lees, Mohammed Kamara

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Emergency medicine journal : EMJ, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Pediatric emergency triage systems.Revista paulista de pediatria : orgao oficial da Sociedade de Pediatria de Sao Paulo · 2022
    Review
  2. Article
  3. Observational
  4. A narrative review of heart rate and variability in sepsis.Annals of translational medicine · 2020
    Review
  5. Demand, overcrowding and the pediatric emergency department.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2019
    Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Sarah CotterillCentre for Biostatistics, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.
Andrew G RowlandEmergency Department, North Manchester General Hospital, Manchester, UK.
Jacqueline KellyEmergency Department, North Manchester General Hospital, Manchester, UK.
Helen LeesEmergency Department, North Manchester General Hospital, Manchester, UK.
Mohammed KamaraEmergency Department, North Manchester General Hospital, Manchester, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe Pennine Acute Trust (PAT) Paediatric Observation Priority Score (PAT-POPS) is a specific emergency department (ED) physiological and observational aggregate scoring system, with scores of 0-18. A higher score indicates greater likelihood of admission. The Manchester Children's Early Warning System (ManChEWS) assesses six physiological observations to create a trigger score, classified as Green, Amber or Red.

methodsProspectively collected data were used to calculate PAT-POPS and ManChEWS on 2068 patients aged under 16 years (mean 5.6 years, SD 4.6) presenting over 1 month to a UK District General Hospital Paediatric ED. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) comparison, using STATA V.13, was used to investigate the ability of ManChEWS and PAT-POPS to predict admission to hospital within 72 h of presentation to the ED.

resultsComparison of the area under the ROC curve indicates that the ManChEWS ROC is 0.67 (95% CI 0.64 to 0.70) and the PAT-POPS ROC is 0.72 (95% CI 0.68 to 0.75). The difference is statistically significant. At a PAT-POPS cut-off of ≥2, 80% of patients had their admission risk correctly classified (positive likelihood ratio 3.40, 95% CI 2.90 to 3.98) whereas for ManChEWS with a cut off of ≥Amber only 71% of patients were correctly classified (positive likelihood ratio 2.18, 95% CI 1.94 to 2.45).

conclusionsPAT-POPS is a more accurate predictor of admission risk than ManChEWS. Replacing ManChEWS with PAT-POPS would appear to be clinically appropriate in a paediatric ED. This needs validation in a multicentre study.

Indexed as

Likelihood FunctionsAdolescentChildChild, PreschoolEmergency Service, HospitalFemaleHumansInfantInfant, NewbornMalePatient AdmissionPatient SafetyProspective StudiesROC CurveSeverity of Illness Indexassessmentemergency departmenthospitalisationspaediatric emergency medpaediatrics, paediatric emergency medicine

Identifiers

PMID27068865
PMCPMC5136718

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.