Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27047990›Full record

ArticleAlzheimer's & dementia (New York, N. Y.)2016

A Genetics-based Biomarker Risk Algorithm for Predicting Risk of Alzheimer's Disease.

Michael W Lutz, Scott S Sundseth, Daniel K Burns, Ann M Saunders, Kathleen M Hayden, James R Burke, Kathleen A Welsh-Bohmer, Allen D Roses

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Alzheimer's & dementia (New York, N. Y.), 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
3.7field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 31 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Genes · 2021
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Consequences of Metabolic Disruption in Alzheimer's Disease Pathology.Neurotherapeutics : the journal of the American Society for Experimental NeuroTherapeutics · 2019
    Review
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Characterization ofAlzheimer's & dementia (New York, N. Y.) · 2017
    Article
  14. ApoE, ApoE Receptors, and the Synapse in Alzheimer's Disease.Trends in endocrinology and metabolism: TEM · 2017
    Review
  15. Article
  16. How can we really improve screening methods for AD prevention trials?Alzheimer's & dementia (New York, N. Y.) · 2016
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Michael W LutzJoseph and Kathleen Bryan Alzheimer's Disease Research Center, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina; Department of Neurology, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina.
Scott S SundsethCabernet Pharmaceuticals, Durham, North Carolina.
Daniel K BurnsZinfandel Pharmaceuticals, Durham, North Carolina.
Ann M SaundersJoseph and Kathleen Bryan Alzheimer's Disease Research Center, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina; Department of Neurology, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina.
Kathleen M HaydenDepartment of Social Sciences and Health Policy, Division of Public Health Sciences, Wake Forest School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, North Carolina; Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina.
James R BurkeJoseph and Kathleen Bryan Alzheimer's Disease Research Center, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina; Department of Neurology, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina.
Kathleen A Welsh-BohmerJoseph and Kathleen Bryan Alzheimer's Disease Research Center, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina; Department of Neurology, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina; Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina.
Allen D RosesJoseph and Kathleen Bryan Alzheimer's Disease Research Center, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina; Department of Neurology, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina; Cabernet Pharmaceuticals, Durham, North Carolina; Zinfandel Pharmaceuticals, Durham, North Carolina.
Duke University Hospital · USDuke Medical Center · USEboo Pharmaceuticals (United States) · US

Funding

Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative - SupplementU01AG024904 · NIA · NORTHERN CALIFORNIA INSTITUTE RES &EDUC · PI WEINER, MICHAEL W · 2004 to 2015
$121.0M
NEUROPATHOLOGY COREP30AG028377 · NIA · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI WELSH-BOHMER, KATHLEEN ANNE · 2006 to 2011
$9.6M
Role of the TOMM40 poly-T variant in the pathogenesis of Alzheimer's diseaseR01AG040370 · NIA · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI CHIBA-FALEK, ORNIT · 2013 to 2017
$2.2M
Genes, environments, interactions, and cognitive decline in the HRSR01AG042633 · NIA · WAKE FOREST UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI HAYDEN, KATHLEEN M · 2014 to 2016
$876k
NIA NIH HHS P30 AG028377NIA NIH HHS R01 AG040370NIA NIH HHS R01 AG042633NIA NIH HHS U01 AG024904
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundA straightforward, reproducible blood-based test that predicts age dependent risk of Alzheimer's disease (AD) could be used as an enrichment tool for clinical development of therapies. This study evaluated the prognostic performance of a genetics-based biomarker risk algorithm (GBRA) established on a combination of Apolipoprotein E (APOE)/Translocase of outer mitochondrial membrane 40 homolog (TOMM40) genotypes and age, then compare it to cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarkers, neuroimaging and neurocognitive tests using data from two independent AD cohorts.

methodsThe GBRA was developed using data from the prospective Bryan-ADRC study (n=407; 86 conversion events (mild cognitive impairment (MCI) or late onset Alzheimer's disease (LOAD)). The performance of the algorithm was tested using data from the ADNI study (n=660; 457 individuals categorized as MCI or LOAD).

resultsThe positive predictive values (PPV) and negative predictive values (NPV) of the GBRA are in the range of 70-80%. The relatively high odds ratio (approximately 3-5) and significant net reclassification index (NRI) scores comparing the GBRA to a version based on APOE and age alone support the value of the GBRA in risk prediction for MCI due to LOAD. Performance of the GBRA compares favorably with CSF and imaging (fMRI) biomarkers. In addition, the GBRA "high" and "low" AD-risk categorizations correlated well with pathological CSF biomarker levels, PET amyloid burden and neurocognitive scores.

conclusionsUnlike dynamic markers (i.e., imaging, protein or lipid markers) that may be influenced by factors unrelated to disease, genomic DNA is easily collected, stable, and the technical methods for measurement are robust, inexpensive, and widely available. The performance characteristics of the GBRA support its use as a pharmacogenetic enrichment tool for LOAD delay of onset clinical trials, and merits further evaluation for its clinical utility in evaluating therapeutic efficacy.

Identifiers

PMID27047990
PMCPMC4817110
OpenAlexW2258850935

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.