Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27046366›Full record

SynthesisJAMA2016

Screening for Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: Evidence Report and Systematic Review for the US Preventive Services Task Force.

Janelle M Guirguis-Blake, Caitlyn A Senger, Elizabeth M Webber, Richard A Mularski, Evelyn P Whitlock

Open access · bronzeAbstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in JAMA, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 75 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
75citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
14.6field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

75 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 138 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Guideline
  4. Prediction models for the development of COPD: a systematic review.International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease · 2018
    Pooled it
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  6. Trial
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  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Healthcare Costs and Trends of Multimorbidity in COPD Patients: A Population-Based Study in Singapore.International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease · 2026
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Towards early detection and disease interception of COPD across the lifespan.European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2025
    Review
  15. The Use of Lung Cancer Screening to Increase Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Diagnosis in Veterans Affairs Primary Care.Federal practitioner : for the health care professionals of the VA, DoD, and PHS · 2025
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

15 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Janelle M Guirguis-BlakeDepartment of Family Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle2Kaiser Permanente Research Affiliates Evidence-based Practice Center, Portland, Oregon.
Caitlyn A SengerKaiser Permanente Research Affiliates Evidence-based Practice Center, Portland, Oregon3Center for Health Research, Kaiser Permanente Northwest, Portland, Oregon.
Elizabeth M WebberKaiser Permanente Research Affiliates Evidence-based Practice Center, Portland, Oregon3Center for Health Research, Kaiser Permanente Northwest, Portland, Oregon.
Richard A MularskiKaiser Permanente Research Affiliates Evidence-based Practice Center, Portland, Oregon3Center for Health Research, Kaiser Permanente Northwest, Portland, Oregon.
Evelyn P WhitlockKaiser Permanente Research Affiliates Evidence-based Practice Center, Portland, Oregon3Center for Health Research, Kaiser Permanente Northwest, Portland, Oregon.
Kaiser Permanente Center for Health Research · USUniversity of Washington · US

Funding

AHRQ HHS HHSA290201200015I
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

importanceChronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is the third leading cause of death in the United States.

objectiveTo systematically review literature on the accuracy of screening questionnaires and office-based screening pulmonary function testing and the efficacy and harms of treatment of screen-detected COPD. DATA SOURCES: MEDLINE, PubMed, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials for relevant English-language studies published through January 2015. STUDY SELECTION: Two reviewers independently screened abstracts and studies. The search yielded 13,141 unique citations; 465 full-text articles were reviewed, and 33 studies met the inclusion criteria. DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: Two reviewers rated the quality of each study using USPSTF criteria. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Diagnostic accuracy (sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value [PPV], and negative predictive value [NPV]; treatment efficacy (COPD exacerbations, all-cause mortality, quality of life, and dyspnea); and treatment harms.

resultsAll screening questionnaires were based on symptoms as well as risk factors such as age and smoking history. The COPD Diagnostic Questionnaire was the most extensively studied (5 studies, n = 3048), with moderate overall performance for COPD detection: area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), 0.65 to 0.72; sensitivity, 80% to 93%; and specificity, 24% to 49%, at a threshold of greater than 16.5. Positive predictive value and NPV ranged from 17% to 45% and 76% to 98%, respectively. For pulmonary function-based screening tools, FEV1/FEV6 was the best studied (3 studies, n = 1587), with AUC ranging from 0.84 to 0.85. Sensitivity ranged from 51% to 80%. Specificity (range, 90%-95%) and PPV (range, 63%-75%) appeared better than questionnaires. There was not strong evidence to support that screening and supplying smokers with spirometry results improves smoking cessation rates. Treatment trials were unavailable for screen-detected patients. Trials that reported outcomes in patients with mild to moderate COPD included 2 trials of long-acting β-agonists (LABAs) (n = 3174), 1 RCT of LABAs and inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) (n = 1097), 5 RCTs of the long-acting muscarinic antagonist tiotropium (n = 4592), and 6 RCTs of ICS (n = 3983). They suggested no benefit in all-cause mortality, but a decrease in annual rates of exacerbations with pharmacologic treatments. Few trials reported harms for any individual drug class. Adverse effects were generally mild (eg, dry mouth and cough). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: There was no direct evidence available to determine the benefits and harms of screening asymptomatic adults for COPD using questionnaires or office-based screening pulmonary function testing or to determine the benefits of treatment in screen-detected populations. Indirect evidence suggests that the COPD Diagnostic Questionnaire has moderate overall performance for COPD detection. Among patients with mild to moderate COPD, the benefit of pharmacotherapy for reducing exacerbations was modest.

Indexed as

Advisory CommitteesAsymptomatic DiseasesRespiratory Function TestsAdministration, InhalationAdrenal Cortex HormonesAdrenergic beta-2 Receptor AgonistsAge FactorsArea Under CurveEvidence-Based MedicineHumansMuscarinic AntagonistsPulmonary Disease, Chronic ObstructiveRecurrenceROC CurveSecondary PreventionSensitivity and SpecificityAdrenal Cortex HormonesAdrenergic beta-2 Receptor AgonistsMuscarinic AntagonistsTiotropium Bromide

Identifiers

PMID27046366
PMCPMC13410715
OpenAlexW2329272519

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.