Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27038112›Full record

ArticleGenetics2016

An Approximate Markov Model for the Wright-Fisher Diffusion and Its Application to Time Series Data.

Anna Ferrer-Admetlla, Christoph Leuenberger, Jeffrey D Jensen, Daniel Wegmann

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Genetics, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 44 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
44citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

44 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Direct estimation of genotype fitness from time series.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026
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  18. Inferring Epistasis from Genetic Time-series Data.Molecular biology and evolution · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Anna Ferrer-AdmetllaDepartment of Biology, University, of Fribourg, 1700 Fribourg Switzerland Department of Life Science, Ecole Polytechnique Federal de Lausanne, 1015 Switzerland Swiss Institute of Bioinformatics, 1700 Fribourg, Switzerland.
Christoph LeuenbergerDepartment of Mathematics, University, of Fribourg, 1700 Fribourg Switzerland.
Jeffrey D JensenDepartment of Life Science, Ecole Polytechnique Federal de Lausanne, 1015 Switzerland Swiss Institute of Bioinformatics, 1700 Fribourg, Switzerland.
Daniel WegmannDepartment of Biology, University, of Fribourg, 1700 Fribourg Switzerland Swiss Institute of Bioinformatics, 1700 Fribourg, Switzerland daniel.wegmann@unifr.ch.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The joint and accurate inference of selection and demography from genetic data is considered a particularly challenging question in population genetics, since both process may lead to very similar patterns of genetic diversity. However, additional information for disentangling these effects may be obtained by observing changes in allele frequencies over multiple time points. Such data are common in experimental evolution studies, as well as in the comparison of ancient and contemporary samples. Leveraging this information, however, has been computationally challenging, particularly when considering multilocus data sets. To overcome these issues, we introduce a novel, discrete approximation for diffusion processes, termed mean transition time approximation, which preserves the long-term behavior of the underlying continuous diffusion process. We then derive this approximation for the particular case of inferring selection and demography from time series data under the classic Wright-Fisher model and demonstrate that our approximation is well suited to describe allele trajectories through time, even when only a few states are used. We then develop a Bayesian inference approach to jointly infer the population size and locus-specific selection coefficients with high accuracy and further extend this model to also infer the rates of sequencing errors and mutations. We finally apply our approach to recent experimental data on the evolution of drug resistance in influenza virus, identifying likely targets of selection and finding evidence for much larger viral population sizes than previously reported.

Indexed as

Evolution, MolecularModels, GeneticDrug Resistance, ViralMarkov ChainsOrthomyxoviridaeSelection, Geneticdiffusion approximationdiscrete Markov modelhidden Markov modeltime-series dataWright–Fisher model

Identifiers

PMID27038112
PMCPMC4896197

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.