Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27025837›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2016

Cough Aerosols of Mycobacterium tuberculosis in the Prediction of Incident Tuberculosis Disease in Household Contacts.

Edward C Jones-López, Carlos Acuña-Villaorduña, Martin Ssebidandi, Mary Gaeddert, Rachel W Kubiak, Irene Ayakaka, Laura F White, Moses Joloba, Alphonse Okwera, Kevin P Fennelly

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 50 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
50citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
6.7field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

50 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 85 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Trial
  4. Trial
  5. Detection of AerosolizedOpen forum infectious diseases · 2025
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  6. Community-Based Tuberculosis Isolation Decisions Require Individualization Based on Effectiveness and Duration of Treatment, Community Risks, and Patient Harms.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
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  10. Household contact antigen-speciResearch square · 2024
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  12. Article
  13. Article
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  16. NTCA Guidelines for Respiratory Isolation and Restrictions to Reduce Transmission of Pulmonary Tuberculosis in Community Settings.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2024
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

Edward C Jones-LópezSection of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Boston Medical Center and Boston University School of Medicine Makerere University-Boston Medical Center Research Collaboration.
Carlos Acuña-VillaorduñaSection of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Boston Medical Center and Boston University School of Medicine.
Martin SsebidandiMakerere University-Boston Medical Center Research Collaboration.
Mary GaeddertSection of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Boston Medical Center and Boston University School of Medicine.
Rachel W KubiakSection of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Boston Medical Center and Boston University School of Medicine.
Irene AyakakaMakerere University-Boston Medical Center Research Collaboration.
Laura F WhiteDepartment of Biostatistics, Boston University School of Public Health, Massachusetts.
Moses JolobaDepartment of Microbiology, Makerere University College of Health Sciences.
Alphonse OkweraMakerere University-Boston Medical Center Research Collaboration Mulago Hospital Tuberculosis Clinic, Mulago Hospital, Kampala, Uganda.
Kevin P FennellyPulmonary Clinical Medicine Section, Cardiovascular and Pulmonary Branch, Division of Intramural Research, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland.
Boston Medical Center · USBoston University · USMakerere University · UGMulago Hospital · UGNational Institutes of Health · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTuberculosis disease develops in only 5%-10% of humans infected with Mycobacterium tuberculosis The mechanisms underlying this variability remain poorly understood. We recently demonstrated that colony-forming units of M. tuberculosis in cough-generated aerosols are a better predictor of infection than the standard sputum acid-fast bacilli smear. We hypothesized that cough aerosol cultures may also predict progression to tuberculosis disease in contacts.

methodsWe conducted a retrospective cohort study of 85 patients with smear-positive tuberculosis and their 369 household contacts in Kampala, Uganda. Index case patients underwent a standard evaluation, and we cultured M. tuberculosis from cough aerosols. Contacts underwent a standard evaluation at enrollment, and they were later traced to determine their tuberculosis status.

resultsDuring a median follow-up of 3.9 years, 8 (2%) of the contacts developed tuberculosis disease. In unadjusted and adjusted analyses, incident tuberculosis disease in contacts was associated with sputum Mycobacterial Growth Indicator Tube culture (odds ratio, 8.2; 95% confidence interval, 1.1-59.2; P = .04), exposure to a high-aerosol tuberculosis case patient (6.0, 1.4-25.2; P = .01), and marginally, human immunodeficiency virus in the contact (6.11; 0.89-41.7; P = .07). We present data demonstrating that sputum and aerosol specimens measure 2 related but different phenomena.

conclusionsWe found an increased risk of tuberculosis progression among contacts of high-aerosol case patients. The hypothesis that a larger infectious inoculum, represented by high aerosol production, determines the risk of disease progression deserves evaluation in future prospective studies.

Indexed as

Mycobacterium tuberculosisAdolescentAdultAerosolsChildCoughFamily CharacteristicsFemaleHumansMaleRetrospective StudiesTuberculosisUgandaYoung AdultAerosolscough-generated aerosolsinoculumMycobacterium tuberculosispredictors of disease progressiontransmission

Identifiers

PMID27025837
PMCPMC5006106
OpenAlexW2346239129

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.