Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27022079›Full record

ReviewPhilosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences2016

The cultural evolution of fertility decline.

Heidi Colleran

Open access · bronzeAbstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 38 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
38citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
32.2field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

38 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 119 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Two universal pathways in demographic transition.Evolutionary human sciences · 2026
    Article
  5. Unveiling Mexico's Demographic Transitions.Studies in family planning · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Half a century of quantitative cultural evolution.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Adoption, Fostering, and Parental Absence in Vanuatu.Human nature (Hawthorne, N.Y.) · 2023
    Article
  14. Gendered conflict in the human family.Evolutionary human sciences · 2023
    Review
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Ecology of the Anthropocene signals hope for consciously managing the planetary ecosystem.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021
    Article
  20. Cultural extinction in evolutionary perspective.Evolutionary human sciences · 2021
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author at 1 institution in 1 country.

Heidi ColleranInstitute for Advanced Study in Toulouse, 21 allee de Brienne, Toulouse 30151, France heidi.colleran@iast.fr.
Google (United States) · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Cultural evolutionists have long been interested in the problem of why fertility declines as populations develop. By outlining plausible mechanistic links between individual decision-making, information flow in populations and competition between groups, models of cultural evolution offer a novel and powerful approach for integrating multiple levels of explanation of fertility transitions. However, only a modest number of models have been published. Their assumptions often differ from those in other evolutionary approaches to social behaviour, but their empirical predictions are often similar. Here I offer the first overview of cultural evolutionary research on demographic transition, critically compare it with approaches taken by other evolutionary researchers, identify gaps and overlaps, and highlight parallel debates in demography. I suggest that researchers divide their labour between three distinct phases of fertility decline--the origin, spread and maintenance of low fertility--each of which may be driven by different causal processes, at different scales, requiring different theoretical and empirical tools. A comparative, multi-level and mechanistic framework is essential for elucidating both the evolved aspects of our psychology that govern reproductive decision-making, and the social, ecological and cultural contingencies that precipitate and sustain fertility decline.

Indexed as

Cultural EvolutionFertilityHumansModels, TheoreticalPopulation Dynamicscultural evolutiondemographic transitionfertility decline

Identifiers

PMID27022079
PMCPMC4822432
OpenAlexW2305580092

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.