Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27018550›Full record

ArticleEpidemiology and psychiatric sciences2017

A comparison of the cumulative incidence and early risk factors for psychotic disorder in young adults in the Northern Finland Birth Cohorts 1966 and 1986.

S Filatova, R Marttila, H Koivumaa-Honkanen, T Nordström, J Veijola, P Mäki, G M Khandaker, M Isohanni, E Jääskeläinen, K Moilanen and 1 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Epidemiology and psychiatric sciences, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.5field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 36 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Incidence of psychotic disorders by birth cohort: a population-based cohort study in Ontario, Canada.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

S FilatovaCenter for Life Course Health Research,University of Oulu,Oulu,Finland.
R MarttilaCenter for Life Course Health Research,University of Oulu,Oulu,Finland.
H Koivumaa-HonkanenInstitute of Clinical Medicine (Psychiatry), University of Eastern Finland,Kuopio,Finland.
T NordströmCenter for Life Course Health Research,University of Oulu,Oulu,Finland.
J VeijolaMedical Research Center Oulu,Oulu University Hospital and University of Oulu,Oulu,Finland.
P MäkiMedical Research Center Oulu,Oulu University Hospital and University of Oulu,Oulu,Finland.
G M KhandakerDepartment of Psychiatry,University of Cambridge,Cambridge,UK.
M IsohanniDepartment of Psychiatry,Center of Clinical Neuroscience,University of Oulu,Oulu,Finland.
E JääskeläinenCenter for Life Course Health Research,University of Oulu,Oulu,Finland.
K MoilanenMedical Research Center Oulu,Oulu University Hospital and University of Oulu,Oulu,Finland.
J MiettunenCenter for Life Course Health Research,University of Oulu,Oulu,Finland.
University of Oulu · FIOulu University Hospital · FICambridgeshire and Peterborough NHS Foundation Trust · GBUniversity of Eastern Finland · FI

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsFew studies have compared time trends for the incidence of psychosis. To date, the results have been inconsistent, showing a decline, an increase or no significant change. As far as we know, no studies explored changes in prevalence of early risk factors. The aim of this study was to investigate differences in early risk factors and cumulative incidences of psychosis by type of psychosis in two comparable birth cohorts.

methodsThe Northern Finland Birth cohorts (NFBCs) 1966 (N = 12 058) and 1986 (N = 9432) are prospective general population-based cohorts with the children followed since mother's mid-pregnancy. The data for psychoses, i.e. schizophrenia (narrow, spectrum), bipolar disorder with psychotic features, major depressive episode with psychotic features, brief psychosis and other psychoses (ICD 8-10) were collected from nationwide registers including both inpatients and outpatients. The data on early risk factors including sex and place of birth of the offspring, parental age and psychosis, maternal education at birth were prospectively collected from the population registers. The follow-up reached until the age of 27 years.

resultsAn increase in the cumulative incidence of all psychoses was seen (1.01% in NFBC 1966 v. 1.90% in NFBC 1986; p < 0.001), which was due to an increase in diagnosed affective and other psychoses. Earlier onset of cases and relatively more psychoses in women were observed in the NFBC 1986. Changes in prevalence of potential early risk factors were identified, but only parental psychosis was a significant predictor in both cohorts (hazard ratios ≥3.0; 95% CI 1.86-4.88). The difference in psychosis incidence was not dependent on changes in prevalence of studied early risk factors.

conclusionsSurprisingly, increase in the cumulative incidence of psychosis and also changes in the types of psychoses were found between two birth cohorts 20 years apart. The observed differences could be due to real changes in incidence or they can be attributable to changes in diagnostic practices, or to early psychosis detection and treatment.

Indexed as

AdultChild of Impaired ParentsCohort StudiesFemaleFinlandHumansIncidenceMaleMothersPregnancyProspective StudiesPsychotic DisordersRegistriesSchizophreniaSchizophrenic PsychologyYoung AdultCumulative incidenceearly risk factorspsychosisschizophrenia

Identifiers

PMID27018550
PMCPMC6998683
OpenAlexW2314476326

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.