Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27016691›Full record

ArticleAlzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association2016

Predicting the progression of Alzheimer's disease dementia: A multidomain health policy model.

Colin Green, Shenqiu Zhang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  10. Informal care for people with dementia in Europe.The journal of prevention of Alzheimer's disease · 2025
    Article
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  13. Observational
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  20. Assessing cost-effectiveness of early intervention in Alzheimer's disease: An open-source modeling framework.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2019
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Colin GreenHealth Economics Group, Institute of Health Research, University of Exeter Medical School, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK; Collaboration for Leadership in Applied Health Research and Care South West Peninsula, University of Exeter Medical School, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK. Electronic address: c.green@exeter.ac.uk.
Shenqiu ZhangHealth Economics Group, Institute of Health Research, University of Exeter Medical School, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.

Funding

NATIONAL ALZHEIMERS COORDINATING CENTER (NACC)U01AG016976 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI KUKULL, WALTER ANTHONY · 1999 to 2020
$72.8M
THERAPEUTIC EFFECTS OF INTRA-NASAL INSULIN DETEMIRP50AG005136 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI GRABOWSKI, THOMAS J. · 1985 to 2019
$57.2M
VIRUS-INDUCED BRAIN PATHOLOGYP50AG005131 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI BREWER, JAMES B · 1985 to 2018
$55.4M
WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY ALZHEIMERS DISEASE RESEARCH CENTERP50AG005681 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI FAGAN, ANNE · 1985 to 2019
$52.1M
SUPPLEMENT TO RUSH ALZHEIMERS DISEASE CENTER COREP30AG010161 · NIA · RUSH UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI LEURGANS, SUE E. · 1991 to 2020
$49.1M
Satellite Diagnostic and Treatment Clinic CoreP50AG008702 · NIA · COLUMBIA UNIV NEW YORK MORNINGSIDE · PI DE JAGER, PHILIP L · 1989 to 2019
$46.3M
TREATMENT OF DEPRESSION IN ALZHEIMER'S DISEASEP50AG005133 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI KAMBOH, M. ILYAS · 1985 to 2019
$43.0M
THE ROLE OF ADVANCED CAA IN ALZHEIMER'S DEMENTIAP50AG005134 · NIA · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI HYMAN, BRADLEY T. · 1985 to 2018
$42.1M
VASCULAR RISK AND COGNITIVE STATUS IN A LATINO POPULATIONP50AG005142 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI BRASKIE, MEREDITH NICOLE · 1985 to 2019
$41.0M
VESICULAR LOCALIZATION AND FUNCTION OF PRESENILIN 1 FRAGMENTP50AG005138 · NIA · MOUNT SINAI SCHOOL OF MEDICINE OF NYU · PI GROSSMAN, HILLEL · 1985 to 2019
$37.9M
'T V ASSESSMENT - MEMORY DISORDERED PATIENTS'P50AG005146 · NIA · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI ALBERT, MARILYN S. · 1985 to 2019
$37.6M
Research Education ComponentP30AG010133 · NIA · INDIANA UNIV-PURDUE UNIV AT INDIANAPOLIS · PI SAYKIN, ANDREW J · 1991 to 2020
$37.3M
NIA NIH HHS P30 AG008017NIA NIH HHS P30 AG008051NIA NIH HHS P30 AG010124NIA NIH HHS P30 AG010129NIA NIH HHS P30 AG010133NIA NIH HHS P30 AG010161NIA NIH HHS P30 AG012300NIA NIH HHS P30 AG013846NIA NIH HHS P30 AG013854NIA NIH HHS P30 AG019610NIA NIH HHS P30 AG028383NIA NIH HHS P30 AG035982NIA NIH HHS P50 AG005131NIA NIH HHS P50 AG005133NIA NIH HHS P50 AG005134NIA NIH HHS P50 AG005136NIA NIH HHS P50 AG005138NIA NIH HHS P50 AG005142NIA NIH HHS P50 AG005146NIA NIH HHS P50 AG005681NIA NIH HHS P50 AG008702NIA NIH HHS P50 AG016570NIA NIH HHS P50 AG016573NIA NIH HHS P50 AG016574NIA NIH HHS P50 AG023501NIA NIH HHS P50 AG025688NIA NIH HHS P50 AG033514NIA NIH HHS U01 AG016976
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionWe develop a multidomain model to predict progression of Alzheimer's disease dementia (AD).

methodsData from the US National Alzheimer's Coordinating Center (n = 3009) are used to examine change in symptom status and to estimate transition probabilities between health states described using cognitive function, functional ability, and behavior. A model is used to predict progression and to assess a hypothetical treatment scenario that slows mild to moderate AD progression.

resultsMore than 70% of participants moved state over 12 months. The majority moved in domains other than cognitive function. Over 5 years, of those alive more than half are in severe AD health states. Assessing an intervention scenario, we see fewer years in more severe health states and a potential impact (life years saved) due to mortality improvements. DISCUSSION: The model developed is exploratory and has limitations but illustrates the importance of using a multidomain approach when assessing impacts of AD and interventions.

Indexed as

Disease ProgressionHealth PolicyActivities of Daily LivingAgedAlzheimer DiseaseCognitionFemaleHumansMaleModels, StatisticalAlzheimer's diseaseDecision analytic modellingHealth policyPredictionProgression

Identifiers

PMID27016691
PMCPMC5104191

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.