Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27015107›Full record

ArticleHepatology (Baltimore, Md.)2016

Hepatitis C Disease Burden in the United States in the era of oral direct-acting antivirals.

Jagpreet Chhatwal, Xiaojie Wang, Turgay Ayer, Mina Kabiri, Raymond T Chung, Chin Hur, Julie M Donohue, Mark S Roberts, Fasiha Kanwal

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Hepatology (Baltimore, Md.), 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 73 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
73citing papers in PubMed
17.2field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

73 citing papers in PubMed, 148 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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  6. Hepatocellular Carcinoma Incidence Threshold for Surveillance in Virologically Cured Hepatitis C Individuals.Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association · 2024
    Article
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  9. Review
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  11. History of alcohol use does not predict HCV direct acting antiviral treatment outcomes.Journal of the Association of Medical Microbiology and Infectious Disease Canada = Journal officiel de l'Association pour la microbiologie medicale et l'infectiologie Canada · 2022
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
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  15. Review
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  17. Cancer in People with and without Hepatitis C Virus Infection: Comparison of Risk Before and After Introduction of Direct-Acting Antivirals.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2021
    Observational
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13 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 6 institutions in 1 country.

Jagpreet ChhatwalMassachusetts General Hospital Institute for Technology Assessment, Boston, MA.
Xiaojie WangH. Milton Stewart School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA.
Turgay AyerH. Milton Stewart School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA.
Mina KabiriDepartment of Health Policy and Management, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA.
Raymond T ChungHarvard Medical School, Boston, MA.
Chin HurMassachusetts General Hospital Institute for Technology Assessment, Boston, MA.
Julie M DonohueDepartment of Health Policy and Management, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA.
Mark S Roberts *Department of Health Policy and Management, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA.
Fasiha Kanwal *Houston Veterans Affairs Health Services Research and Development Center of Excellence, Michael E. DeBakey Veterans Affairs Medical Center.
University of Pittsburgh · USHarvard University · USBaylor College of Medicine · USCenter for Assessment · USGeorgia Institute of Technology · USUniversity of Florida · US

Funding

University of Pittsburgh Clinical and Translational Science InstitutionKL2TR000146 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI REIS, STEVEN E · 2012 to 2015
$8.7M
NCATS NIH HHS KL2 TR000146
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Oral direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) represent a major advance in hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment. Along with recent updates in HCV screening policy and expansions in insurance coverage, treatment demand in the United States is changing rapidly. Our objective was to project the characteristics and number of people needing antiviral treatment and HCV-associated disease burden in the era of oral DAAs. We used a previously developed and validated Hepatitis C Disease Burden Simulation model (HEP-SIM). HEP-SIM simulated the actual clinical management of HCV from 2001 onward, which included antiviral treatment with pegylated interferon (Peg-IFN)-based therapies as well as the recent oral DAAs, risk-based and birth-cohort HCV screening, and the impact of the Affordable Care Act. We also simulated two hypothetical scenarios-no treatment and treatment with Peg-IFN-based therapies only. We estimated that in 2010, 2.5 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.9-3.1) million noninstitutionalized people were viremic, which dropped to 1.9 (95% CI, 1.4-2.6) million in 2015, and projected to drop below 1 million by 2020. A total of 1.8 million HCV patients will receive HCV treatment from the launch of oral DAAs in 2014 until 2030. Based on current HCV management practices, it will take 4-6 years to treat the majority of patients aware of their disease. However, 560,000 patients would still remain unaware by 2020. Even in the oral DAA era, 320,000 patients will die, 157,000 will develop hepatocellular carcinoma, and 203,000 will develop decompensated cirrhosis in the next 35 years.

conclusionsHCV-associated disease burden will still remain substantial in the era of oral DAAs. Increasing HCV screening and treatment capacity is essential to further decreasing HCV burden in the United States. (Hepatology 2016;64:1442-1450).

Indexed as

Administration, OralAntiviral AgentsCost of IllnessHepatitis C, ChronicHumansPrevalenceUnited StatesAntiviral Agents

Identifiers

PMID27015107
PMCPMC5035714
OpenAlexW2311331156

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.