Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27004413›Full record

ArticleBMC medicine2016

The timing of tuberculosis after isoniazid preventive therapy among gold miners in South Africa: a prospective cohort study.

Sabine M Hermans, Alison D Grant, Violet Chihota, James J Lewis, Emilia Vynnycky, Gavin J Churchyard, Katherine L Fielding

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medicine, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  8. HIV-associated tuberculosis.International journal of STD & AIDS · 2021
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
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  12. TB preventive therapy for people living with HIV: key considerations for scale-up in resource-limited settings.The international journal of tuberculosis and lung disease : the official journal of the International Union against Tuberculosis and Lung Disease · 2018
    Article
  13. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Sabine M HermansTB Centre, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK. s.hermans@aighd.org.
Alison D GrantTB Centre, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Violet ChihotaThe School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
James J LewisTB Centre, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Emilia VynnyckyTB Centre, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Gavin J ChurchyardTB Centre, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Katherine L FieldingTB Centre, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/K007467/1Medical Research Council MR/K012126/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe durability of isoniazid preventive therapy (IPT) in preventing tuberculosis (TB) is limited in high-prevalence settings. The underlying mechanism (reactivation of persistent latent TB or reinfection) is not known. We aimed to investigate the timing of TB incidence during and after IPT and associated risk factors in a very high TB and HIV-prevalence setting, and to compare the observed rate with a modelled estimate of TB incidence rate after IPT due to reinfection.

methodsIn a post-hoc analysis of a cluster-randomized trial of community-wide IPT among South African gold miners, all intervention arm participants that were dispensed IPT for at least one of the intended 9 months were included. An incident TB case was defined as any participant with a positive sputum smear or culture, or with a clinical TB diagnosis assigned by a senior study clinician. Crude TB incidence rates were calculated during and after IPT, overall and by follow-up time. HIV status was not available. Multivariable Cox regression was used to analyse risk factors by follow-up time after IPT. Estimates from a published mathematical model of trial data were used to calculate the average reinfection TB incidence in the first year after IPT.

resultsAmong 18,520 participants (96% male, mean age 41 years, median follow-up 2.1 years), 708 developed TB. The TB incidence rate during the intended IPT period was 1.3/100 person-years (pyrs; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.0-1.6) and afterwards 2.3/100 pyrs (95% CI, 1.9-2.7). TB incidence increased within 6 months followed by a stable rate over time. There was no evidence for changing risk factors for TB disease over time after miners stopped IPT. The average TB incidence rate attributable to reinfection in the first year was estimated at 1.3/100 pyrs, compared to an observed rate of 2.2/100 pyrs (95% CI, 1.8-2.7).

conclusionsThe durability of protection by IPT was lost within 6-12 months in this setting with a high HIV prevalence and a high annual risk of M. tuberculosis infection. The observed rate was higher than the modelled rate, suggesting that reactivation of persistent latent infection played a role in the rapid return to baseline TB incidence.

Indexed as

AdultAntitubercular AgentsCohort StudiesDisease-Free SurvivalDrug Resistance, BacterialFemaleGoldHumansIncidenceIsoniazidMaleMiddle AgedMinersMycobacterium tuberculosisPrevalenceProspective StudiesAntitubercular AgentsGoldIsoniazidIsoniazid preventive therapyLatent infectionReactivationReinfectionTuberculosis

Identifiers

PMID27004413
PMCPMC4804575

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.