Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27001299›Full record

ArticleHypertension (Dallas, Tex. : 1979)2016

Predicting Out-of-Office Blood Pressure in the Clinic (PROOF-BP): Derivation and Validation of a Tool to Improve the Accuracy of Blood Pressure Measurement in Clinical Practice.

James P Sheppard, Richard Stevens, Paramjit Gill, Una Martin, Marshall Godwin, Janet Hanley, Carl Heneghan, F D Richard Hobbs, Jonathan Mant, Brian McKinstry and 5 more

Erratum issuedOpen access · greenAbstract readComparative StudyMulticenter StudyValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Hypertension (Dallas, Tex. : 1979), 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 27 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.3field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 44 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Guideline
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  13. Algorithm for diagnosing hypertension using out-of-office blood pressure measurements.Journal of clinical hypertension (Greenwich, Conn.) · 2021
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Blood pressure cutoffs for white-coat and masked effects in a large population undergoing home blood pressure monitoring.Hypertension research : official journal of the Japanese Society of Hypertension · 2019
    Article
  18. Review
  19. Review
  20. Ambulatory blood pressure monitoring in the 21st century.Journal of clinical hypertension (Greenwich, Conn.) · 2018
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors at 7 institutions in 2 countries.

James P SheppardFrom the Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom (J.P.S., R.S., C.H., F.D.R.H., D.N., A.W., R.J.M.); Institute of Applied Health Research, Institute of Clinical Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom (P.G., U.M.); Family Practice Unit, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St John's, Newfoundland, NL, Canada (M.G.); Health Services Research Unit, Edinburgh Napier University, Edinburgh, United Kingdom (J.H.); Cambridge Institute of Public Health, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom (J.M.); Centre for Population Health Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom (B.M.); Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada (M.M.); and Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, London, United Kingdom (B.W.). james.sheppard@phc.ox.ac.uk.
Richard StevensFrom the Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom (J.P.S., R.S., C.H., F.D.R.H., D.N., A.W., R.J.M.); Institute of Applied Health Research, Institute of Clinical Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom (P.G., U.M.); Family Practice Unit, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St John's, Newfoundland, NL, Canada (M.G.); Health Services Research Unit, Edinburgh Napier University, Edinburgh, United Kingdom (J.H.); Cambridge Institute of Public Health, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom (J.M.); Centre for Population Health Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom (B.M.); Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada (M.M.); and Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, London, United Kingdom (B.W.).
Paramjit GillFrom the Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom (J.P.S., R.S., C.H., F.D.R.H., D.N., A.W., R.J.M.); Institute of Applied Health Research, Institute of Clinical Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom (P.G., U.M.); Family Practice Unit, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St John's, Newfoundland, NL, Canada (M.G.); Health Services Research Unit, Edinburgh Napier University, Edinburgh, United Kingdom (J.H.); Cambridge Institute of Public Health, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom (J.M.); Centre for Population Health Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom (B.M.); Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada (M.M.); and Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, London, United Kingdom (B.W.).
Una MartinFrom the Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom (J.P.S., R.S., C.H., F.D.R.H., D.N., A.W., R.J.M.); Institute of Applied Health Research, Institute of Clinical Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom (P.G., U.M.); Family Practice Unit, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St John's, Newfoundland, NL, Canada (M.G.); Health Services Research Unit, Edinburgh Napier University, Edinburgh, United Kingdom (J.H.); Cambridge Institute of Public Health, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom (J.M.); Centre for Population Health Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom (B.M.); Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada (M.M.); and Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, London, United Kingdom (B.W.).
Marshall GodwinFrom the Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom (J.P.S., R.S., C.H., F.D.R.H., D.N., A.W., R.J.M.); Institute of Applied Health Research, Institute of Clinical Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom (P.G., U.M.); Family Practice Unit, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St John's, Newfoundland, NL, Canada (M.G.); Health Services Research Unit, Edinburgh Napier University, Edinburgh, United Kingdom (J.H.); Cambridge Institute of Public Health, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom (J.M.); Centre for Population Health Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom (B.M.); Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada (M.M.); and Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, London, United Kingdom (B.W.).
Janet HanleyFrom the Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom (J.P.S., R.S., C.H., F.D.R.H., D.N., A.W., R.J.M.); Institute of Applied Health Research, Institute of Clinical Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom (P.G., U.M.); Family Practice Unit, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St John's, Newfoundland, NL, Canada (M.G.); Health Services Research Unit, Edinburgh Napier University, Edinburgh, United Kingdom (J.H.); Cambridge Institute of Public Health, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom (J.M.); Centre for Population Health Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom (B.M.); Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada (M.M.); and Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, London, United Kingdom (B.W.).
Carl HeneghanFrom the Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom (J.P.S., R.S., C.H., F.D.R.H., D.N., A.W., R.J.M.); Institute of Applied Health Research, Institute of Clinical Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom (P.G., U.M.); Family Practice Unit, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St John's, Newfoundland, NL, Canada (M.G.); Health Services Research Unit, Edinburgh Napier University, Edinburgh, United Kingdom (J.H.); Cambridge Institute of Public Health, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom (J.M.); Centre for Population Health Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom (B.M.); Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada (M.M.); and Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, London, United Kingdom (B.W.).
F D Richard HobbsFrom the Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom (J.P.S., R.S., C.H., F.D.R.H., D.N., A.W., R.J.M.); Institute of Applied Health Research, Institute of Clinical Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom (P.G., U.M.); Family Practice Unit, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St John's, Newfoundland, NL, Canada (M.G.); Health Services Research Unit, Edinburgh Napier University, Edinburgh, United Kingdom (J.H.); Cambridge Institute of Public Health, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom (J.M.); Centre for Population Health Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom (B.M.); Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada (M.M.); and Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, London, United Kingdom (B.W.).
Jonathan MantFrom the Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom (J.P.S., R.S., C.H., F.D.R.H., D.N., A.W., R.J.M.); Institute of Applied Health Research, Institute of Clinical Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom (P.G., U.M.); Family Practice Unit, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St John's, Newfoundland, NL, Canada (M.G.); Health Services Research Unit, Edinburgh Napier University, Edinburgh, United Kingdom (J.H.); Cambridge Institute of Public Health, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom (J.M.); Centre for Population Health Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom (B.M.); Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada (M.M.); and Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, London, United Kingdom (B.W.).
Brian McKinstryFrom the Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom (J.P.S., R.S., C.H., F.D.R.H., D.N., A.W., R.J.M.); Institute of Applied Health Research, Institute of Clinical Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom (P.G., U.M.); Family Practice Unit, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St John's, Newfoundland, NL, Canada (M.G.); Health Services Research Unit, Edinburgh Napier University, Edinburgh, United Kingdom (J.H.); Cambridge Institute of Public Health, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom (J.M.); Centre for Population Health Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom (B.M.); Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada (M.M.); and Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, London, United Kingdom (B.W.).
Martin MyersFrom the Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom (J.P.S., R.S., C.H., F.D.R.H., D.N., A.W., R.J.M.); Institute of Applied Health Research, Institute of Clinical Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom (P.G., U.M.); Family Practice Unit, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St John's, Newfoundland, NL, Canada (M.G.); Health Services Research Unit, Edinburgh Napier University, Edinburgh, United Kingdom (J.H.); Cambridge Institute of Public Health, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom (J.M.); Centre for Population Health Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom (B.M.); Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada (M.M.); and Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, London, United Kingdom (B.W.).
David NunanFrom the Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom (J.P.S., R.S., C.H., F.D.R.H., D.N., A.W., R.J.M.); Institute of Applied Health Research, Institute of Clinical Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom (P.G., U.M.); Family Practice Unit, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St John's, Newfoundland, NL, Canada (M.G.); Health Services Research Unit, Edinburgh Napier University, Edinburgh, United Kingdom (J.H.); Cambridge Institute of Public Health, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom (J.M.); Centre for Population Health Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom (B.M.); Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada (M.M.); and Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, London, United Kingdom (B.W.).
Alison WardFrom the Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom (J.P.S., R.S., C.H., F.D.R.H., D.N., A.W., R.J.M.); Institute of Applied Health Research, Institute of Clinical Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom (P.G., U.M.); Family Practice Unit, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St John's, Newfoundland, NL, Canada (M.G.); Health Services Research Unit, Edinburgh Napier University, Edinburgh, United Kingdom (J.H.); Cambridge Institute of Public Health, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom (J.M.); Centre for Population Health Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom (B.M.); Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada (M.M.); and Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, London, United Kingdom (B.W.).
Bryan WilliamsFrom the Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom (J.P.S., R.S., C.H., F.D.R.H., D.N., A.W., R.J.M.); Institute of Applied Health Research, Institute of Clinical Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom (P.G., U.M.); Family Practice Unit, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St John's, Newfoundland, NL, Canada (M.G.); Health Services Research Unit, Edinburgh Napier University, Edinburgh, United Kingdom (J.H.); Cambridge Institute of Public Health, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom (J.M.); Centre for Population Health Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom (B.M.); Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada (M.M.); and Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, London, United Kingdom (B.W.).
Richard J McManusFrom the Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom (J.P.S., R.S., C.H., F.D.R.H., D.N., A.W., R.J.M.); Institute of Applied Health Research, Institute of Clinical Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom (P.G., U.M.); Family Practice Unit, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St John's, Newfoundland, NL, Canada (M.G.); Health Services Research Unit, Edinburgh Napier University, Edinburgh, United Kingdom (J.H.); Cambridge Institute of Public Health, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom (J.M.); Centre for Population Health Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom (B.M.); Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada (M.M.); and Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, London, United Kingdom (B.W.).
University of Birmingham · GBEdinburgh Napier University · GBHealth Sciences Centre · CAUniversity of Edinburgh · GBUniversity of Toronto · CAMemorial University of Newfoundland · CAUniversity of Cambridge · GB

Funding

Chief Scientist Office ARPG/07/03Department of Health CDF/01/017Department of Health IS-SPC-0514-10043Department of Health NIHR-RP-02-12-015Department of Health RP-PG-1209-10051Medical Research Council MC_PC_13090Medical Research Council MR/K022032/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Patients often have lower (white coat effect) or higher (masked effect) ambulatory/home blood pressure readings compared with clinic measurements, resulting in misdiagnosis of hypertension. The present study assessed whether blood pressure and patient characteristics from a single clinic visit can accurately predict the difference between ambulatory/home and clinic blood pressure readings (the home-clinic difference). A linear regression model predicting the home-clinic blood pressure difference was derived in 2 data sets measuring automated clinic and ambulatory/home blood pressure (n=991) using candidate predictors identified from a literature review. The model was validated in 4 further data sets (n=1172) using area under the receiver operator characteristic curve analysis. A masked effect was associated with male sex, a positive clinic blood pressure change (difference between consecutive measurements during a single visit), and a diagnosis of hypertension. Increasing age, clinic blood pressure level, and pulse pressure were associated with a white coat effect. The model showed good calibration across data sets (Pearson correlation, 0.48-0.80) and performed well-predicting ambulatory hypertension (area under the receiver operator characteristic curve, 0.75; 95% confidence interval, 0.72-0.79 [systolic]; 0.87; 0.85-0.89 [diastolic]). Used as a triaging tool for ambulatory monitoring, the model improved classification of a patient's blood pressure status compared with other guideline recommended approaches (93% [92% to 95%] classified correctly; United States, 73% [70% to 75%]; Canada, 74% [71% to 77%]; United Kingdom, 78% [76% to 81%]). This study demonstrates that patient characteristics from a single clinic visit can accurately predict a patient's ambulatory blood pressure. Usage of this prediction tool for triaging of ambulatory monitoring could result in more accurate diagnosis of hypertension and hence more appropriate treatment.

Indexed as

Circadian RhythmAdultAgedAlgorithmsBlood Pressure DeterminationBlood Pressure Monitoring, AmbulatoryCanadaCohort StudiesDatabases, FactualFemaleHumansLinear ModelsMaleMasked HypertensionMiddle AgedOffice Visitsambulatory blood pressure monitoringhypertensionmasked hypertensionwhite coat hypertension

Identifiers

PMID27001299
PMCPMC4905620
OpenAlexW2303735251

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.