ArticleJournal of the International AIDS Society2016
Estimating HIV incidence among key affected populations in China from serial cross-sectional surveys in 2010-2014.
Article in Journal of the International AIDS Society, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 33 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
33 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Technology-Based HIV Prevention Interventions for Men Who Have Sex With Men: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Journal of medical Internet research · 2025Pooled it
- Epidemiological characteristics of HIV and AIDS in mainland China: a 16-Year national surveillance analysis (2005-2020).BMC infectious diseases · 2026Article
- Immune reconstitution efficacy and the risk factors of immune non-responsiveness after combined antiretroviral therapy in HIV-1 positive MSM and heterosexual population - a prospective cohort study.Immunity & ageing : I & A · 2026Article
- Integrating a Combination HIV Prevention Intervention Into a Widely Used Geosocial App for Chinese Men Who Have Sex With Men: Protocol for a Single-Arm Pilot and Repeated Cross-Sectional Study.JMIR research protocols · 2025Article
- Multi-dimensional mismatch and barriers for promoting PrEP among men who have sex with men in China: a cross sectional survey from the Demand-side.AIDS research and therapy · 2023Article
- High risks of HIV transmission for men sex worker - a comparison of profile and risk factors of HIV infection between MSM and MSW in China.BMC public health · 2022Article
- HIV testing frequency and associated factors among five key populations in ten cities of China: a cross-sectional study.BMC infectious diseases · 2022Article
- Trajectories of Sexual Risk Behaviors and the Associated Factors Among Young Men Who Have Sex With Men in China.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- Research Progress in the Epidemiology of HIV/AIDS in China.China CDC weekly · 2021Article
- HIV incidence among men who have sex with men in mainland China: a systematic review protocol.Systematic reviews · 2021Article
- Measuring the uptake of continuous care among people living with HIV receiving antiretroviral therapy and social determinants of the uptake of continuous care in the southwest of China: a cross-sectional study.BMC infectious diseases · 2021Article
- HIV incidence and sexual behavioral correlates among 4578 men who have sex with men (MSM) in Chengdu, China: a retrospective cohort study.BMC public health · 2021Article
- HIV incidence among men who have sex with men using geosocial networking smartphone application in Beijing, China: an open cohort study.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2021Article
- The Enigma of the Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) Epidemic in China.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2021Article
- Use of Geosocial Networking Apps and HIV Risk Behavior Among Men Who Have Sex With Men: Case-Crossover Study.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2021Article
- High HIV Incidence Among Men Who Have Sex With Men in 8 Chinese Cities: Results From a Trial.Open forum infectious diseases · 2020Article
- HIV/AIDS Among Female Sex Workers in China: Epidemiology and Recent Prevention Strategies.Current HIV/AIDS reports · 2020Review
- HIV and HCV Infection Status Among Drug Users - China, 2010-2018.China CDC weekly · 2020Article
- Article
- A community-based comprehensive intervention to reduce syphilis infection among low-fee female sex workers in China: a matched-pair, community-based randomized study.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2019Article
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Authors and funding
10 authors.
Funding
Abstract
introductionHIV incidence is an important measure for monitoring the development of the epidemic, but it is difficult to ascertain. We combined serial HIV prevalence and mortality data to estimate HIV incidence among key affected populations (KAPs) in China.
methodsSerial cross-sectional surveys were conducted among KAPs from 2010 to 2014. Trends in HIV prevalence were assessed by the Cochran-Armitage test, adjusted by risk group. HIV incidence was estimated from a mathematical model that describes the relationship between changes in HIV incidence with HIV prevalence and mortality.
resultsThe crude HIV prevalence for the survey samples remained stable at 1.1 to 1.2% from 2010 to 2014. Among drug users (DUs), HIV prevalence declined from 4.48 to 3.29% (p<0.0001), and among men who have sex with men (MSM), HIV prevalence increased from 5.73 to 7.75% (p<0.0001). Changes in HIV prevalence among female sex workers (FSWs) and male patients of sexually transmitted disease clinics were more modest but remained statistically significant (all p<0.0001). The MSM population had the highest incidence estimates at 0.74% in 2011, 0.59% in 2012, 0.57% in 2013 and 0.53% in 2014. Estimates of the annual incidence for DUs and FSWs were very low and may not be reliable.
conclusionsSerial cross-sectional prevalence data from representative samples may be another approach to construct approximate estimates of national HIV incidence among key populations. We observed that the MSM population had the highest incidence for HIV among high-risk groups in China, and we suggest that interventions targeting MSM are urgently needed to curb the growing HIV epidemic.
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